NFL · resolved market
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6468d69ef786a8ae325f9a7bda944fbea3984f3d8c6617ca321c804961999f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,185,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,437,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,185,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 8c | 285,664$22,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,486.37 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 10c | 184,023$18,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,520.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 8c | 150,000$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,415.87 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 9c | 126,174$11,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,349.61 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…4f22backed Yes | 12c | 119,398$13,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,774.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 8c | 116,730$8,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,988.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 7c | 114,025$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,505.81 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 10c | 112,576$11,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,789.74 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Yes | 7c | 100,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0547backed Yes | 7c | 100,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 7c | 95,375$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.23 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 9c | 90,425$8,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 5c | 78,615$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.06 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed Yes | 8c | 76,827$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 75,943$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.3 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…31d7backed Yes | 9c | 74,354$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,034.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 2c | 71,166$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.81 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 10c | 69,950$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 2c | 68,228$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 4c | 66,734$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.63 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 4c | 66,039$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.28 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 9c | 65,000$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.81 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 13c | 63,560$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 9c | 62,871$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 62,730$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.7 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 11c | 58,218$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.21 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 10c | 57,841$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,784.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 6c | 57,476$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.21 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 4c | 56,917$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.27 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked Yes | 11c | 54,305$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…0b4ebacked Yes | 1c | 53,369$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 7c | 53,016$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Yes | 8c | 52,934$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 7c | 51,807$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.82 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…c2d0backed Yes | 9c | 51,529$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 9c | 48,909$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.29 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 6c | 48,644$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.05 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 4c | 47,810$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.02 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 10c | 47,160$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 46,837$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.7 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 9c | 46,575$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…3ee1backed Yes | 8c | 46,526$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Yes | 9c | 45,688$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Yes | 11c | 45,000$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 8c | 42,181$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…c822backed Yes | 10c | 41,262$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Yes | 7c | 40,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 3c | 39,366$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.93 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…e26abacked Yes | 9c | 37,018$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 7c | 36,868$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.31 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 9c | 36,578$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.77 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 8c | 34,584$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.47 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 5c | 33,675$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.14 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes | 9c | 33,366$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 8c | 31,578$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…e643backed Yes | 8c | 31,259$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +260.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 8c | 29,776$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.86 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…781fbacked Yes | 4c | 26,896$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…a6a9backed Yes | 7c | 26,783$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1949…515ebacked Yes | 3c | 25,463$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 8c | 25,364$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.23 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Yes | 3c | 25,252$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 24,965$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 24,574$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.71 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 11c | 23,673$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.57 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 8c | 23,658$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.53 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 2c | 23,168$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.68 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 11c | 23,094$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 7c | 22,381$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 2c | 22,376$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 2c | 21,455$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 2c | 21,071$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…07f6backed Yes | 2c | 21,061$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 4c | 20,337$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.53 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 20,283$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.61 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Yes | 5c | 20,283$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 6c | 20,100$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.46 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 12c | 19,661$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 10c | 19,535$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.77 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 10c | 19,326$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 19,249$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.15 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 18,605$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.45 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 3c | 17,305$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.07 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 4c | 17,279$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 9c | 17,271$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.48 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 9c | 16,550$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.67 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 15,912$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.01 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 9c | 15,813$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 8c | 15,771$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.02 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…5f74backed Yes | 8c | 15,589$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…c540backed Yes | 12c | 15,383$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 7c | 15,193$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 10c | 15,023$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.58 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 14,975$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.14 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…2ef0backed Yes | 3c | 14,899$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…1c1fbacked Yes | 8c | 14,486$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 8c | 14,434$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.21 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 9c | 14,365$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.26 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 7c | 14,346$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 8c | 14,040$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.