NFL · resolved market
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184228c1bfc9502d38f6f9984667f3da7b2f955616f195a3ba28b51fb0539bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,283,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,400,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,283,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 993 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 13,030,504$67,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,463.23 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 2,649,616$14,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,125.83 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,616,955$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.88 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,129,995$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 1,009,848$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.42 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 1c | 918,487$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…2307backed Yes | 1c | 914,109$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…74f7backed Yes | 1c | 717,215$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 592,387$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.32 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 484,497$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.8 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 480,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 465,160$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.43 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 352,246$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 283,753$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.52 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 231,441$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.65 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 221,367$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 215,000$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 205,468$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.87 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 1c | 193,359$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.79 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb52…475dbacked Yes | 1c | 169,662$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 1c | 157,143$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…daf5backed Yes | 1c | 151,305$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 150,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…7fcdbacked Yes | 1c | 142,800$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 126,093$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.56 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…c871backed Yes | 1c | 114,112$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 110,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…27e6backed Yes | 1c | 109,714$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8892…fc50backed Yes | 1c | 100,217$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 90,420$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…8e63backed Yes | 1c | 84,780$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 81,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 1c | 77,000$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6a38backed Yes | 1c | 63,557$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…84d8backed Yes | 1c | 63,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…c981backed Yes | 1c | 63,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…102fbacked Yes | 1c | 63,143$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…dcf3backed Yes | 1c | 63,129$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…f7fabacked Yes | 1c | 62,929$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…2000backed Yes | 1c | 62,671$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…fb50backed Yes | 1c | 62,625$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…b74cbacked Yes | 1c | 61,829$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…b6bdbacked Yes | 0c | 61,750$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…ef2abacked Yes | 1c | 61,743$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…aee5backed Yes | 1c | 61,700$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…47b6backed Yes | 1c | 61,257$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…ec57backed Yes | 1c | 60,100$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 55,485$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10d…c068backed Yes | 1c | 55,267$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…bc14backed Yes | 1c | 55,245$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1623…d4b0backed Yes | 1c | 54,870$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…8653backed Yes | 1c | 54,539$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…1a24backed Yes | 1c | 53,817$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…7b3fbacked Yes | 1c | 52,250$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…8488backed Yes | 1c | 51,193$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…81afbacked Yes | 1c | 50,217$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643e…f611backed Yes | 1c | 45,517$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…1bdabacked Yes | 1c | 45,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefb…f6d1backed Yes | 1c | 43,629$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…5cc7backed Yes | 1c | 43,570$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…9ad9backed Yes | 1c | 43,484$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…14d4backed Yes | 1c | 43,469$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…c9c1backed Yes | 1c | 43,453$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…c64abacked Yes | 1c | 43,302$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…e53dbacked Yes | 1c | 42,927$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…ad2fbacked Yes | 1c | 42,897$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4ecebacked Yes | 1c | 42,854$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…99f8backed Yes | 1c | 42,286$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…6deabacked Yes | 1c | 40,716$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…c27fbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…d862backed Yes | 1c | 39,953$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…0707backed Yes | 1c | 39,714$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…8532backed Yes | 1c | 39,687$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 38,739$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…8f62backed Yes | 1c | 38,298$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…5e8bbacked Yes | 1c | 36,320$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…e06fbacked Yes | 1c | 34,527$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…5886backed Yes | 1c | 34,226$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…4f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 33,031$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…546fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,250$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…d15cbacked Yes | 1c | 31,400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…551dbacked Yes | 1c | 29,877$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…5171backed Yes | 1c | 29,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 26,280$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…9adabacked Yes | 1c | 26,184$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f29…4abfbacked Yes | 1c | 26,043$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…c5ebbacked Yes | 1c | 25,992$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…ebf3backed Yes | 1c | 25,743$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…7c8cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.