NFL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0eafdfa7da17483796f77f4b287d28834ab97db4a9a6e999b52c1ba239bc2f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,295,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,663,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,295,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 68c | 732,034$496,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,334.69 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 51c | 500,000$254,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,755.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…0f4bbacked Yes | 68c | 388,736$265,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,691.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yes | 18c | 288,215$52,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,599.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 19c | 167,434$31,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,291.45 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 50c | 153,865$76,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,527.4 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…1b66backed Yes | 69c | 145,475$99,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,494.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 18c | 142,341$25,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,444.24 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 32c | 134,999$42,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,794.74 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6cf6backed No | 19c | 128,695$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 126,056$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,576 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Yes | 68c | 109,015$74,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,505.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…3944backed No | 61c | 84,274$51,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,808.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 16c | 77,346$12,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,202.38 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 40c | 75,479$30,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,317.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Yes | 69c | 72,747$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,747.34 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…064ebacked Yes | 48c | 71,678$34,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,976.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 68c | 70,374$47,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,587.28 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 70,268$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,448.56 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 3c | 68,189$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,989.29 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 17c | 63,254$10,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,277.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 60,193$44,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,201.4 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 56,267$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,537.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 6c | 55,414$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,865.17 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 32c | 52,683$17,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,113.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 2c | 52,651$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,555.3 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 5c | 51,647$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,194.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +601.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 51,346$15,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,734.51 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 24c | 50,120$11,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,156.3 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Yes | 19c | 48,442$9,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,212.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 48,314$13,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,612.05 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 46c | 47,946$22,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,812.89 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 67c | 46,610$31,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,288.02 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 33c | 46,289$15,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,046.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…7f1bbacked Yes | 42c | 42,640$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,940.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 7c | 41,601$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,540.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Yes | 15c | 40,733$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,547.84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 20c | 40,000$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,820.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 37c | 39,706$14,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,934.13 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 13c | 39,237$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,967.28 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 57c | 39,196$22,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,833.08 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 57c | 38,048$21,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,516.77 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…d320backed Yes | 9c | 37,500$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,986.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 12c | 36,852$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,351.74 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Yes | 68c | 36,642$24,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,662 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…017dbacked Yes | 39c | 36,539$14,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,403.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 36,125$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,875.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 14c | 35,973$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,972.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 20c | 35,133$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,216.95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 68c | 35,033$23,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,385.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 42c | 34,068$14,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,364.62 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 14c | 33,231$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,546.93 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 6c | 33,110$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,143.62 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 2c | 32,936$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,300.08 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Yes | 49c | 31,871$15,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,196.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 31,709$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,296.72 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 68c | 30,029$20,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,609.24 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 18c | 30,000$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,540.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 68c | 29,310$20,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,295.54 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…76bbbacked Yes | 7c | 29,115$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,115.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +627.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 2c | 28,669$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,039.54 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Yes | 2c | 27,663$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,113.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 38c | 27,258$10,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,882.55 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 22c | 27,189$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,275.01 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 12c | 26,988$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,626.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 73c | 26,705$19,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,408.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…c248backed Yes | 4c | 26,676$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,716.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,677.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 1c | 26,504$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,213.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +912.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 43c | 26,463$11,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,056.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Yes | 28c | 25,744$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,502.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,724.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 14c | 24,626$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,253.92 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 37c | 24,481$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,509.24 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…d256backed Yes | 2c | 24,204$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,830.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +3,225.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…9c30backed No | 32c | 23,710$7,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,682.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 1c | 22,805$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,573.45 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 6c | 22,641$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,349.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 69c | 22,169$15,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,301.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 29c | 21,824$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,533.23 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 34c | 21,533$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,305.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…a8fdbacked Yes | 24c | 21,457$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,286.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…f38cbacked Yes | 68c | 21,011$14,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 68c | 21,000$14,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 32c | 20,843$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,722.84 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 6c | 20,683$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,520.47 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 59c | 20,332$11,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,964.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 31c | 20,000$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked No | 32c | 19,830$6,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 55c | 19,315$10,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,644.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 3c | 18,823$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,214.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 33c | 18,699$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,541.19 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 60c | 18,440$11,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,294.94 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…e26abacked Yes | 12c | 18,300$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,085.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 69c | 18,096$12,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.22 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 17,658$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.38 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 17,482$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.51 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…790abacked Yes | 43c | 17,327$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,837.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…da3ebacked Yes | 4c | 17,231$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,610.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,677.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Yes | 67c | 16,843$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 68c | 16,523$11,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.01 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.