NFL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a76ce64d7da9eac3f42aa09b1d25eb610ccc16eaf4849493b3d1698fb79ba57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,903,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,699,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,903,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 406,037$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.37 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 228,176$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.85 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 1c | 176,871$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 1c | 173,729$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.05 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 1c | 158,495$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 144,959$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.94 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 143,633$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.43 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 1c | 141,575$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 138,819$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.33 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 137,379$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 135,531$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.28 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 103,590$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c7e9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 96,740$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.13 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 96,130$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Yes | 3c | 94,888$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.81 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…4d89backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes | 1c | 85,180$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 2c | 82,318$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.84 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…8c68backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 76,602$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.87 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 1c | 73,936$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.04 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeeb…e6b0backed Yes | 1c | 73,446$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 63,689$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.23 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 61,949$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 1c | 61,050$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,304$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 55,565$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…794ebacked Yes | 1c | 54,252$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 1c | 52,691$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…c652backed Yes | 1c | 51,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…28b9backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b4…8376backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…a6dabacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c40abacked Yes | 1c | 49,970$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes | 0c | 49,244$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…2dd3backed Yes | 1c | 48,626$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 2c | 48,439$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.92 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 1c | 47,339$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.39 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…06adbacked Yes | 1c | 42,985$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 2c | 42,592$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 1c | 41,341$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 1c | 41,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…d1f3backed Yes | 1c | 38,961$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 1c | 38,952$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…b174backed Yes | 1c | 34,704$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ed…f602backed Yes | 1c | 34,023$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…17d2backed Yes | 0c | 33,380$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Yes | 1c | 32,168$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 1c | 31,899$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 2c | 30,426$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…b63bbacked Yes | 1c | 30,129$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 30,121$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 2c | 29,379$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.24 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…2fb0backed Yes | 1c | 29,360$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 0c | 27,740$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 27,219$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 1c | 26,651$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.46 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 1c | 26,134$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…859fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,125$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…7750backed Yes | 1c | 25,591$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 25,498$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 1c | 24,778$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…c22abacked Yes | 0c | 24,111$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 2c | 23,805$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.46 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 2c | 23,265$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.35 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…cf02backed Yes | 1c | 23,204$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…e654backed Yes | 0c | 23,049$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 3c | 22,954$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.41 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,477$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…fe96backed Yes | 3c | 22,217$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…cc23backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 3c | 20,179$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…e8adbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 1c | 18,900$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 6c | 17,579$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 17,459$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 2c | 17,144$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.43 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 2c | 16,495$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.43 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 4c | 15,713$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.04 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 15,110$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.96 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 15,059$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…698ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,848$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 2c | 14,708$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.