TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9abd…f67b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
283
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST734.1%3 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+5,241.2%+$5,568.27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$172.52
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$285.76
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$671.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$409.64
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$143.4
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$657.64
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,828.61
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$614.44
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$85.07
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$403.43
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$83.59
Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$56.4
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+124.8%+$24.98
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$884.21
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.09
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.97
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.86
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.23
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+8,233.3%+$5,424.47
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.9
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.76
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.52
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.58
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.2
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.03
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.67
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$14.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$11.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$655.39
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$538.27
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$336.2
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$558
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$297.99
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$129.97
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500.46
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$633.59
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-61.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.99
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.69
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.67
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+150%+$15
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+35.1%+$4.22
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+33.3%+$4
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+29.9%+$5.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.05
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.71
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.6
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.96
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+59%+$7.42
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.22
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.8
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,202
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+48.4%+$226.88
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.1%+$106
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+117.4%+$216
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95.7
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$137.64
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+380.8%+$198
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.1%+$177.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.