Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8367b13dfe9b179419e1e67f1eb6255569e1cf8904d0b3af951de81b00da909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,503,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,503,199 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6bc…a49ebacked No | 58c | 527,288$305,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,494.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 42c | 132,687$56,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,070.21 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 42c | 125,510$52,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,713 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 54c | 123,078$66,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,117.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 64,611$38,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,490.48 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 57,471$24,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,891.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 42c | 55,050$23,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,070.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 56c | 51,298$28,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,571.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 50,084$21,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,211.55 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 47,182$21,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,012.92 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 54c | 46,208$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,208.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 43,412$19,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,152.31 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 43c | 36,439$15,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,597.1 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 41c | 31,340$12,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,957.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 46c | 28,079$12,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,916.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 41c | 24,742$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,144.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 47c | 23,355$11,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,001 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 58c | 21,572$12,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 41c | 17,000$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 48c | 14,900$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 42c | 13,981$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 42c | 10,630$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.53 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 10,339$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.45 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 55c | 9,112$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.95 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 53c | 8,000$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 7,871$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.06 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 45c | 7,571$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 43c | 7,200$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.99 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 6,631$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.66 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 46c | 6,526$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 5,664$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 1c | 4,871$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 51c | 4,514$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 3,519$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 43c | 3,501$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 3,476$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.64 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.41 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 3,231$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.62 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 3,197$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.2 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…944ebacked Yes | 45c | 3,112$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 2,647$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 52c | 2,600$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 39c | 2,467$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.16 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,441$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 42c | 2,353$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 45c | 2,300$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 53c | 2,252$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 53c | 2,142$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 2,053$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.54 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes | 42c | 1,910$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 58c | 1,880$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.59 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 1,828$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.48 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 41c | 1,777$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 48c | 1,555$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Yes | 36c | 1,525$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,487$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 41c | 1,452$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 46c | 1,443$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.53 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Yes | 47c | 1,411$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,407$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.69 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…819dbacked No | 57c | 1,385$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes | 21c | 1,379$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,368$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.91 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…0a09backed Yes | 45c | 1,307$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 39c | 1,300$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 40c | 1,284$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 55c | 1,270$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Yes | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 57c | 1,229$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,216$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 47c | 1,209$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,148$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 1,145$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.75 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,138$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 44c | 1,076$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 42c | 960.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 44c | 958.3$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.