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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,352 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes27c25,129$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,344.0611246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c20,222$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,313.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No74c17,554$12,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,990.32951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No73c15,828$11,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,554.426336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No72c12,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,639.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c9,971$7,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,278.6138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c9,601$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,136.0314740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes26c7,649$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,659.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c4,315$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.611,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed Yes25c4,044$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c3,948$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.6325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked No76c3,947$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No25c3,708$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.847237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes25c3,400$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5504533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes40c2,627$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.3585142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c2,394$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.143,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes25c2,222$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes27c2,155$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c2,077$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.591,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No74c1,926$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4255343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No74c1,758$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes5c1,666$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.4852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No73c1,644$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.971030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No74c1,198$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.393557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes63c1,168$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.682437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+388.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes28c1,079$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.5321835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes22c1,005$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.861241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No8c1,000$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes25c999.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.984151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c997.29$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.085341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes15c854.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.921513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No3c793.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.192821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c785.15$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5934449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No72c750$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes67c744.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes45c715.55$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.174141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.297354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No41c622.2$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.883828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No22c610.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.934533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c576.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2730345.2%137 W · 166 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a28…871abacked No75c547.4$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c494.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c466$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6640844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No76c453.38$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.57862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2928616.3%14 W · 72 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No13c392.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes26c386.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No74c370$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.781450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c354.74$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.068949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.837028.6%20 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes27c299.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9921243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes9c287.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.812356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c284.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.252,43337.4%909 W · 1,524 L-9.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes32c261.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes26c252.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8234142.8%146 W · 195 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No74c250.79$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes26c241.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.723225%8 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.222948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes27c219.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.727957%45 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No68c218.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6914963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes26c210$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…1d66backed Yes23c210$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes26c210$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes26c210$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffa9…eff1backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.035034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked No78c193.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes26c193.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.059638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.315149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes22c171.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8617956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes62c160.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes25c160.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes28c155.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.56145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes27c149.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c147.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4747036%169 W · 301 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No8c146.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+145.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849d…2e75backed Yes9c137.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed No75c131.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes73c130.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9417835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No75c129.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.910055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No75c123.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.712885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes11c119.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+249.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No74c118.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.029354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No76c117.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes26c115.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.832045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.381844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed No33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.