TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,421 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No62c35,352$21,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,432.7384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c28,541$12,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,954.633,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked No72c6,382$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes29c6,286$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.9511246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No71c6,122$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.953366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c6,018$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.82,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes47c5,821$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.1852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c4,254$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.3125157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No80c2,368$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.261957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No68c1,874$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.681190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c1,559$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.571,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes10c1,500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.992733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes29c1,208$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.533557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes15c1,191$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.533828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes17c818.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1621835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes29c690$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.12814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c673.78$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0418…9bd3backed Yes9c613.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c493.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes36c491.01$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4327644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Yes72c414.94$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c395$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes40c348.83$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.744136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.574643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No62c330.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.612345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes11c263.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No61c254.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.12580%20 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No70c241.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No59c233.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.925236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c231.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5933349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes17c217.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No72c198.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No41c189.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.367237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c183.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6335158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c181$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes49c176.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7417956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No61c172$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.444654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63fe…9f1ebacked Yes44c168.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes49c158.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.466142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes31c145.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes19c140.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1114963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes29c114.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Yes22c107.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.513616.7%6 W · 30 L-9.3wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No66c100.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked No73c97.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286050%30 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No70c91.73$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.522725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1745135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes30c89.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.949048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No69c72.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No41c71.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.123212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b03…2b75backed Yes49c59.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824e…a690backed Yes38c56.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa2…e287backed No72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No43c53.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.92137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-82%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes33c53.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0711749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.515459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Yes23c49.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes28c46.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No71c46.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.764856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes29c44.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…10c8backed No46c44.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Yes48c42.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.052250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1811562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Yes33c40.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.371020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x075a…278ebacked Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c36.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5420048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c35.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4916013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No60c35.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.927751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed No33c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c31.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab3…ad72backed Yes52c29.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed Yes42c28.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.