TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75c2…b8b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.81
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.65
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.19
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.11
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.36
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.22
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$158.15
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.97
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.61
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50.75
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$37.83
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.3
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gastonbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.71
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$196.56
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$69.58
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Sao Paulo: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$133.72
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damasbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$187.4
Dubrovnik: Tena Lukas vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Naples: Francesco Forti vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+41%+$114.75
Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Jie Cuibacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulaisbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+155.7%+$155.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$104.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$168.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$344.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+169%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$161.28
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$25.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.