Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4012de291cba1314979078123ca94e6e2ffc77a7f52c08959455bcc193f253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,378 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 35c | 1,421$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 66c | 1,046$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.07 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 59c | 775.48$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 42c | 360.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yes | 40c | 248.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes | 33c | 228.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 74.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed No | 69c | 43.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…895fbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?this page
- Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.