TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Jie Cui

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yuta Shimizuof Yuta Shimizu, Jie Cui
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,608 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Jie Cui48c7,580$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.732,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Jie Cui52c3,997$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.4756757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yuta Shimizu56c3,109$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.9320155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Yuta Shimizu48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.983959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jie Cui46c2,865$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.121,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yuta Shimizu24c2,671$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.5130225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yuta Shimizu65c2,248$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.97963.3%50 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yuta Shimizu49c2,018$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.444757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yuta Shimizu62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.926847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Jie Cui14c1,528$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Yuta Shimizu58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63015457.1%88 W · 66 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jie Cui42c1,425$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.483,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Yuta Shimizu48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6243868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Yuta Shimizu45c1,162$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.797346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jie Cui60c1,149$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.771,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Jie Cui36c1,064$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5317933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jie Cui40c907.18$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1812740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked Jie Cui59c822.42$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jie Cui32c816.6$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.172,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Jie Cui27c750.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu43c748.33$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jie Cui53c723.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd7…0e06backed Jie Cui48c691.49$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jie Cui51c580$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.711,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yuta Shimizu48c579.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.911,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Yuta Shimizu43c578.95$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd646…6832backed Jie Cui57c578.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Jie Cui59c518.24$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Yuta Shimizu67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.259257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb183…0badbacked Yuta Shimizu45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Yuta Shimizu44c478.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6924438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yuta Shimizu43c417.89$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Yuta Shimizu72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.678058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c45…cf06backed Yuta Shimizu54c409.78$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.322835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yuta Shimizu44c402.1$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.158,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yuta Shimizu52c382.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.831,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jie Cui51c377.37$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.82,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Jie Cui35c326.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1123735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yuta Shimizu54c287.19$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.497,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jie Cui47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.61,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yuta Shimizu43c234.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.661,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yuta Shimizu43c231.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7147252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuta Shimizu38c227.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.333,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yuta Shimizu44c226.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6722465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuta Shimizu62c221.87$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.316,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yuta Shimizu52c220$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.666831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yuta Shimizu46c218.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7729637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yuta Shimizu45c216$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.838048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Jie Cui51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yuta Shimizu48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Jie Cui51c203.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Yuta Shimizu77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8523865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Yuta Shimizu35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff21…d56abacked Yuta Shimizu76c184.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.151573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yuta Shimizu42c183.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.051,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jie Cui11c183.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yuta Shimizu62c181$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yuta Shimizu65c179$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Jie Cui56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Jie Cui56c177.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Jie Cui57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yuta Shimizu61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Jie Cui61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yuta Shimizu61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9317262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yuta Shimizu62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yuta Shimizu62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2923248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jie Cui41c160.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.889,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Jie Cui54c157.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0927344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Jie Cui77c155.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12046453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yuta Shimizu48c151.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Yuta Shimizu68c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.512854.7%70 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Yuta Shimizu43c141.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7462534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jie Cui42c138.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.383,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Yuta Shimizu56c136.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6238460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Jie Cui68c132.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Jie Cui11c128.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.745113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2899…3f66backed Yuta Shimizu44c127.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Jie Cui55c123.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682825%7 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jie Cui40c123.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Jie Cui55c122.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d6…145ebacked Jie Cui51c122.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Jie Cui41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2730…c23abacked Jie Cui44c121.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Jie Cui41c119.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7627147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Yuta Shimizu42c116.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.310242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yuta Shimizu44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6415248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yuta Shimizu62c107.27$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.233655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Jie Cui51c101.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Yuta Shimizu37c101.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4859440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800d…47afbacked Jie Cui52c101.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Jie Cui56c101$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5611058.2%64 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Jie Cui77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7712853.9%69 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Jie Cui41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…052dbacked Jie Cui14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Yuta Shimizu42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Jie Cui20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Jie Cui59c98.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jie Cui41c95.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Jie Cui54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yuta Shimizu44c91.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.486753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.