TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a6a…9c4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT12854.7%70 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Jake Delaneybacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Bunschoten: Guy Den Ouden vs Hynek Bartonbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
ITF Sao Paulo: Josefina Estevez vs Oceane Babelbacked Josefina Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
ITF Olomouc: Petra Sedlackova vs Kali Supovabacked Petra Sedlackova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$43.5
ITF Granby: Miho Kuramochi vs Yeon Woo Kubacked Yeon Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.95
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$10.75
ITF Kramsach: Andrej Martin vs Florian Zimmerbacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
ITF Gubbio: Pietro Marino vs Andrea Bacalonibacked Andrea Bacaloni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
ITF Brisbane: Ava Beck vs Sarah Mildrenbacked Ava Beck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
ITF Brisbane: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Jizelle Sibaibacked Natsuki Yoshimoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.08
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$21.5
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Florian Broska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$56.2
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Mili Poljicakbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$26.55
Liege: Federico Coria vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$50.7
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$193.8
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.88
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT11100%11 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$103.27
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$172.67
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$74
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$188
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.