Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Petra Sedlackova vs Kali Supova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45093b56a0f35bf5a0f70ad06a556ee6740c7a0d576d1372bc55c9f8c8ecaa3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petra Sedlackovaof Petra Sedlackova, Kali Supova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Petra Sedlackova | 65c | 1,170$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kali Supova | 23c | 807.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kali Supova | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kali Supova | 36c | 316.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kali Supova | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kali Supova | 29c | 239.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Kali Supova | 38c | 226.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Petra Sedlackova | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Kali Supova | 16c | 189.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Petra Sedlackova | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Petra Sedlackova | 64c | 152.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kali Supova | 18c | 150.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kali Supova | 21c | 127.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kali Supova | 35c | 98.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kali Supova | 21c | 87.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kali Supova | 38c | 83.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Kali Supova | 30c | 53.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kali Supova | 37c | 51.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Petra Sedlackova | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Petra Sedlackova | 62c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Petra Sedlackova | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Petra Sedlackova | 65c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Petra Sedlackova | 79c | 25.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Petra Sedlackova | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Petra Sedlackova | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Petra Sedlackova | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.