Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Ava Beck vs Sarah Mildren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02364c390a80b2e8d4995d2e61ecff7079319fdbc4ba892087cb469fb43940d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ava Beckof Ava Beck, Sarah Mildren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sarah Mildren | 53c | 28,057$14,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,815.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ava Beck | 44c | 13,516$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ava Beck | 50c | 6,168$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.68 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Sarah Mildren | 55c | 2,652$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.84 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ava Beck | 46c | 2,380$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ava Beck | 51c | 2,265$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.61 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ava Beck | 45c | 2,214$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ava Beck | 47c | 2,070$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ava Beck | 46c | 1,620$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.87 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sarah Mildren | 54c | 1,585$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.62 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Ava Beck | 50c | 1,029$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ava Beck | 51c | 792.93$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Ava Beck | 37c | 381.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Ava Beck | 67c | 222.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Ava Beck | 50c | 200.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Ava Beck | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sarah Mildren | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Sarah Mildren | 48c | 121.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sarah Mildren | 48c | 106.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ava Beck | 45c | 93.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Ava Beck | 56c | 76.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sarah Mildren | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Ava Beck | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sarah Mildren | 45c | 55.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sarah Mildren | 55c | 47.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sarah Mildren | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ava Beck | 69c | 40.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…fc40backed Sarah Mildren | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sarah Mildren | 51c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Ava Beck | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sarah Mildren | 55c | 30.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b65…c48abacked Ava Beck | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Sarah Mildren | 55c | 22.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Sarah Mildren | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Ava Beck | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Ava Beck | 78c | 21.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3919backed Ava Beck | 52c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cca…69d2backed Ava Beck | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.