Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Josefina Estevez vs Oceane Babel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2670f150f2219ba292f8b65f4a5d352c4c6dcced0ff0f180560610d49edc6360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oceane Babelof Josefina Estevez, Oceane Babel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Oceane Babel | 36c | 17,259$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,131.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Josefina Estevez | 59c | 9,269$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Josefina Estevez | 65c | 7,062$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.38 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Oceane Babel | 19c | 760.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Josefina Estevez | 65c | 690$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Josefina Estevez | 61c | 634$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Oceane Babel | 32c | 316$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…61ccbacked Josefina Estevez | 6c | 269.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Josefina Estevez | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Josefina Estevez | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Oceane Babel | 31c | 146.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Josefina Estevez | 13c | 124.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Josefina Estevez | 28c | 115.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Josefina Estevez | 69c | 106.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Josefina Estevez | 30c | 106.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Oceane Babel | 53c | 103.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Oceane Babel | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oceane Babel | 62c | 87.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Oceane Babel | 33c | 78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Josefina Estevez | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Josefina Estevez | 64c | 59.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Oceane Babel | 54c | 55.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Josefina Estevez | 22c | 48.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Josefina Estevez | 64c | 41.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Oceane Babel | 58c | 40.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Oceane Babel | 31c | 40.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Josefina Estevez | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Josefina Estevez | 62c | 37.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Josefina Estevez | 69c | 34.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Oceane Babel | 35c | 34.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Josefina Estevez | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Josefina Estevez | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Josefina Estevez | 64c | 20.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Josefina Estevez | 64c | 20.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Oceane Babel | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Oceane Babel | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Josefina Estevez | 67c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Josefina Estevez | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.