Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Jake Delaney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e783de62d824d5ac2d93233f63f564ed211c9f32107bca3eabb332fc8a1825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Chase Ferguson, Jake Delaney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chase Ferguson | 35c | 12,429$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Jake Delaney | 55c | 7,844$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.56 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chase Ferguson | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 1,951$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.62 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Jake Delaney | 52c | 1,156$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.07 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jake Delaney | 70c | 960$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chase Ferguson | 44c | 641.59$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Jake Delaney | 62c | 626.61$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Chase Ferguson | 13c | 546.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jake Delaney | 48c | 468.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Chase Ferguson | 18c | 408.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Jake Delaney | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chase Ferguson | 23c | 245.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Chase Ferguson | 52c | 240.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Jake Delaney | 44c | 217.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chase Ferguson | 18c | 157.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Jake Delaney | 44c | 136.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jake Delaney | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Chase Ferguson | 8c | 130.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chase Ferguson | 25c | 122.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Chase Ferguson | 59c | 116.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 147 | 75.5%111 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Jake Delaney | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Jake Delaney | 41c | 96.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Jake Delaney | 43c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jake Delaney | 76c | 70.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Chase Ferguson | 29c | 68.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jake Delaney | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Jake Delaney | 71c | 65.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jake Delaney | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chase Ferguson | 24c | 64.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Chase Ferguson | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Chase Ferguson | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Chase Ferguson | 45c | 51.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Jake Delaney | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jake Delaney | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jake Delaney | 75c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…313dbacked Jake Delaney | 78c | 39.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Jake Delaney | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Jake Delaney | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Jake Delaney | 73c | 31.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chase Ferguson | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jake Delaney | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jake Delaney | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Jake Delaney | 74c | 14.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.