TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe565…6a38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.31
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.72
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.4
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.43
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$40.09
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39.49
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$33.86
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$42.74
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.55
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.25
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$21.01
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.42
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$47.72
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.23
Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.22
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.12
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Bucaramanga: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Garrett Johnsbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.25
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.79
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Suzan Lamensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$33.07
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Samuel Herediabacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Morelia: Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$14.48
Bucaramanga: Daniel Nunez vs Matias Sotobacked Daniel Nunez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Alicante: Marco Cecchinato vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.17
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.19
Split: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Jie Cuibacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.78
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.52
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.72
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$48.73
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$15.33
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.09
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.96
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.1
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.85
All 11 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.