TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,113 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd0f…22c8backed Under51c9,074$4,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c30…eea9backed Under51c8,262$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…170ebacked Over49c7,803$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd952…b2f6backed Under51c7,377$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under78c7,063$5,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,514.249556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac95…9edbbacked Over49c6,883$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under50c6,194$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.856654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3d…635cbacked Under51c5,944$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…44d2backed Under51c5,756$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb710…b4c2backed Over49c4,927$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c4,713$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.711,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1b…04abbacked Over49c4,378$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…2bb2backed Over49c4,367$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…038bbacked Over49c4,259$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e9…8cd6backed Under51c4,141$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126e…2f5ebacked Over49c3,952$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…9c91backed Over49c3,697$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b2…3450backed Under51c3,683$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…ae60backed Over49c3,551$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4101…1ef9backed Over49c3,430$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over17c3,191$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.9920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf93c…4986backed Under51c3,078$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under53c2,222$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.6614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c2,149$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c1,866$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,823$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over46c1,730$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.9927735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c1,487$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c1,227$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.581,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c1,104$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c1,007$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9926149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3318842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c800.41$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.6887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under37c788.63$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under56c750.18$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c743.89$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.327746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c630.98$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.111,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under53c629.42$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.640947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c544.64$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c513.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over40c457.35$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3818835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c424.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over45c424$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over48c417$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.576946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over49c408.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3819045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c396$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.321,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c375.49$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4301…90b6backed Over49c373$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c368$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287b…7694backed Over49c367$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c357.51$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.221,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over47c351.28$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over70c341.86$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8760444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ec…bdb5backed Under51c337$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over27c320$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c318.21$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Over18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Over18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Over18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Over18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2462425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15921049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under55c299.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.65538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf77c…d870backed Under51c288$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Over22c250$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over25c245$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c238.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under43c231.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.525651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7615357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380f…2cf4backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc62…0e74backed Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c201.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.222,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over23c200$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over23c200$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under54c185.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over26c179$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c175.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over22c165$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c164.47$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over61c164.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c160.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d6…48b6backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c132.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c130.39$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.171,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over61c130.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c115.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c110.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Over45c109.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.659442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over50c107.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5328852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5435849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.