TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,471 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c4,750$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under78c3,851$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over46c3,070$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.558648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over17c2,526$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.7820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c2,438$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,417$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,290$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Over47c1,845$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.745034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under28c1,605$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under57c1,386$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under54c1,180$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c1,025$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Under53c855.45$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.391850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c678.45$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under3c666.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Under2c536.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over54c459.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7611753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c449.84$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under35c357.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9120638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over75c347.97$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.992,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under54c275.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under42c273.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.491,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under51c265.94$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under41c241.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under54c170.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Under12c158.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c158.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c144.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.631,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c137$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.611,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over32c126$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over29c115$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over43c109.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c106.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…5767backed Under52c106.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5663353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under56c93.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.629442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c6…4ae8backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over34c89.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over43c88.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0445…6e67backed Under66c75.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c71.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under57c70.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc141…2c71backed Over43c69.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.878036.3%29 W · 51 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4411761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over72c68.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over58c67.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2620650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over21c65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under57c60.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4654951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under29c58.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Under35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over43c51.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over44c45.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Under54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c39.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…98ddbacked Under57c37.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.126155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under48c32.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Over43c30.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.469031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c28.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under43c23.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0116867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under54c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9621049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf584…d8dabacked Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c1…a397backed Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over72c18.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb330…c587backed Under57c17.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.