NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe25aec0093a873ae427d01628fb7cef785b7a678f090fcae70d85e38ebb835d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Nuggets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 56c | 31,498$17,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,639.15 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…25edbacked Nuggets | 54c | 31,433$16,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,973.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 47c | 30,435$14,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,230.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 44c | 25,996$11,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,555.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 43c | 25,553$10,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,565.28 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…00debacked Suns | 46c | 24,500$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,230 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…4169backed Nuggets | 54c | 21,529$11,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,625.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…042cbacked Suns | 46c | 21,326$9,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,516.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…5d1bbacked Suns | 46c | 21,015$9,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,348.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…2be4backed Nuggets | 54c | 20,499$11,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,069.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…0414backed Suns | 46c | 20,094$9,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 19,377$11,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,045.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…ad0bbacked Suns | 46c | 19,182$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,358.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…983abacked Suns | 46c | 18,667$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa650…09c6backed Suns | 46c | 18,570$8,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…caddbacked Suns | 46c | 17,391$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,391.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8667…b622backed Nuggets | 54c | 16,666$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…fdc1backed Suns | 46c | 16,546$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9e2fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 16,494$8,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,906.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…841bbacked Suns | 46c | 16,327$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…794cbacked Suns | 46c | 15,937$7,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,605.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…090dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 15,911$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…5e3fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 15,811$8,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,537.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Suns | 50c | 14,151$7,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.42 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b8…423dbacked Suns | 46c | 14,094$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…6ac1backed Nuggets | 54c | 14,024$7,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,572.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…526abacked Nuggets | 54c | 13,999$7,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a7eabacked Nuggets | 54c | 13,246$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,152.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…dc4abacked Suns | 46c | 12,705$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…7a8fbacked Suns | 46c | 12,163$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…f982backed Suns | 46c | 10,974$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…c29abacked Suns | 46c | 10,929$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…4634backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,626$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…75b8backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,591$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Nuggets | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2a75backed Suns | 46c | 9,528$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…c287backed Nuggets | 54c | 9,474$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…1af1backed Suns | 46c | 8,866$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,774$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets | 55c | 8,507$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.6 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a8ddbacked Nuggets | 54c | 8,426$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…6297backed Suns | 46c | 8,298$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…1845backed Nuggets | 57c | 8,254$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 63c | 8,048$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.87 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 45c | 7,440$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…66e1backed Nuggets | 54c | 6,347$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…ad32backed Nuggets | 54c | 6,206$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…f90fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 6,012$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…8f55backed Suns | 46c | 5,987$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Suns | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 42c | 4,356$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 43c | 2,447$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…9cdcbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,336$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…438dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,088$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…7d9dbacked Suns | 46c | 1,959$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,955$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…ae86backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,947$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…4e2ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,924$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…768bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,917$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…c8febacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,898$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c3…78f2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,893$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,628$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…7b09backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,454$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…128abacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,448$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 43c | 1,408$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.46 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…71ebbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,244$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…ce4cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,218$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…a52dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,169$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…07c2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,165$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Suns | 44c | 1,164$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…5c99backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,163$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafa…07d5backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,156$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…f1aebacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,153$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b2…e988backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,137$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Suns | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…3ae5backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,134$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…5ce7backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…28f4backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,107$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…81d9backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,104$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…32bdbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,099$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fdcabacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,092$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…2f94backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…3f87backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…34b2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…ef4fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,077$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…5fb9backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,072$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d01…039dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…6d4abacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…e57abacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,064$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…796bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,059$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…05a2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,052$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0135…409cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…5bafbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,047$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…cba1backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89b…11aebacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…38edbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…ee8dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ce…cc82backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.