NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835bb8b76d1376f10022b8e819eaf8b438c41810ca8399d791ac2b70812dcd83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Nuggets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 48c | 118,996$57,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,117.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Suns | 52c | 50,421$26,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,202.14 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 51c | 49,735$25,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,232.78 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Suns | 52c | 48,138$25,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,106.46 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 45,918$22,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,475.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Nuggets | 0c | 32,330$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 35c | 20,177$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,114.78 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Suns | 57c | 20,082$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.39 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 52c | 19,660$10,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.59 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 52c | 16,251$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 44c | 14,985$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,708$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 12,000$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.85 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 51c | 11,700$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 48c | 9,985$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.3 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Nuggets | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Suns | 34c | 7,087$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.66 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,802$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.88 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,023$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 52c | 5,700$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…6f80backed Suns | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…3cc2backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…657cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…6255backed Suns | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,448$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.25 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 52c | 3,914$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.34 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.08 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 51c | 2,981$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Suns | 35c | 2,854$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.83 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 66c | 2,721$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.45 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.15 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 52c | 2,487$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.15 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,083$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Suns | 51c | 1,990$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Suns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Suns | 54c | 1,573$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.31 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,560$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.98 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Suns | 59c | 1,411$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Suns | 73c | 1,375$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.49 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Suns | 52c | 1,359$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.16 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Suns | 41c | 1,284$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.12 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Suns | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 53c | 1,151$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.71 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,116$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Suns | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Suns | 51c | 886.54$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 42c | 846.63$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 51c | 725.06$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.28 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Suns | 53c | 660.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.31 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 51c | 645.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.31 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 53c | 626.15$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Nuggets | 49c | 606.08$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Suns | 43c | 599.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Nuggets | 49c | 565.31$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Suns | 53c | 531.47$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 39c | 515.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Suns | 53c | 512.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Suns | 49c | 509.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 51c | 508.39$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Suns | 52c | 497.35$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 52c | 482.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Suns | 53c | 469.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Suns | 45c | 446.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.31 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 437.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Nuggets | 48c | 419.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 52c | 398.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 52c | 391.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Suns | 52c | 390.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Suns | 51c | 344.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Suns | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Suns | 52c | 325$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Nuggets | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Suns | 52c | 298.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Suns | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…ea2ebacked Suns | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Nuggets | 49c | 255.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Nuggets | 48c | 255.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns | 52c | 236.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Suns | 52c | 235.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Suns | 45c | 223.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Suns | 45c | 210.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 48c | 207.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Nuggets | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Nuggets | 49c | 192.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Suns | 52c | 191$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.