TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24ba…d462

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.88
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.41
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.55
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.15
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.05
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.7
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.34
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$150
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.68
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.36
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$400
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$10.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.23
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.41
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$195.45
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$112.84
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.37
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.09
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$266.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$104.06
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.67
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.55
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.36
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69%+$61.67
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$23.45
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.8
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.82
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.74
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.63
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.