NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a602d72181332863554e713d0e36926967e3162561428e28a0113d79550cf07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,362,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,385,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,362,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Ducks | 37c | 288,944$106,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,599.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Oilers | 63c | 176,546$111,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,322.02 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 62c | 171,513$105,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,006 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 64c | 101,639$64,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,990.11 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 42c | 99,138$41,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,871.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 63c | 62,653$39,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,181.45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks | 36c | 62,007$22,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,322.62 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 62c | 42,596$26,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,163.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Oilers | 60c | 39,980$23,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,992.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Oilers | 37c | 34,347$12,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,559.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Ducks | 37c | 29,828$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036.43 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 64c | 29,455$18,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,603.7 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks | 36c | 26,888$9,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,679.66 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Oilers | 61c | 23,233$14,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060.87 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ducks | 42c | 23,205$9,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.88 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Ducks | 42c | 23,203$9,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.9 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Oilers | 37c | 20,206$7,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oilers | 55c | 19,056$10,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,576.67 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Ducks | 40c | 17,783$7,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200.9 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Oilers | 37c | 17,364$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,939.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Ducks | 38c | 12,805$4,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.99 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Ducks | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ducks | 37c | 11,518$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.57 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Oilers | 61c | 10,784$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 59c | 10,529$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Ducks | 43c | 10,457$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.94 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Oilers | 63c | 9,769$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.44 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Ducks | 38c | 8,951$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Ducks | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Ducks | 73c | 7,450$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Oilers | 60c | 7,431$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.75 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 38c | 7,348$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.41 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Oilers | 63c | 7,010$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.7 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Ducks | 43c | 6,527$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Oilers | 61c | 6,348$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.68 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 45c | 6,286$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.81 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Oilers | 64c | 6,115$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.4 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Ducks | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Ducks | 66c | 5,972$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oilers | 60c | 5,737$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.41 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 67c | 5,696$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Ducks | 37c | 5,579$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.17 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 32c | 5,533$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.33 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 55c | 5,444$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.04 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Ducks | 37c | 5,425$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Ducks | 41c | 5,283$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Ducks | 37c | 5,201$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Ducks | 38c | 5,067$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.6 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Ducks | 65c | 4,964$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Oilers | 63c | 4,770$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Oilers | 64c | 4,615$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Oilers | 62c | 4,236$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Ducks | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Ducks | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Oilers | 59c | 3,912$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.09 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Ducks | 37c | 3,849$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Oilers | 37c | 3,840$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.02 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Oilers | 64c | 3,793$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.52 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Ducks | 41c | 3,793$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.01 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Ducks | 36c | 3,749$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.67 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 59c | 3,731$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.9 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Ducks | 37c | 3,393$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.31 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Oilers | 63c | 3,345$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 37c | 3,320$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.22 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Oilers | 64c | 3,058$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oilers | 71c | 2,853$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.67 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Oilers | 60c | 2,812$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.72 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Oilers | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Ducks | 12c | 2,451$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Ducks | 36c | 2,421$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.72 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Oilers | 59c | 2,421$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Oilers | 64c | 2,348$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Oilers | 38c | 2,336$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.93 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ducks | 13c | 2,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Oilers | 40c | 2,279$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.96 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Ducks | 40c | 2,239$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.69 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 38c | 2,181$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.62 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 61c | 2,179$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.94 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 59c | 2,143$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 41c | 2,101$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.91 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Oilers | 61c | 2,008$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.94 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Ducks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…6a83backed Oilers | 38c | 1,993$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Oilers | 37c | 1,957$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.72 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Ducks | 20c | 1,929$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Oilers | 54c | 1,925$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Ducks | 20c | 1,890$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.65 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 42c | 1,838$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.32 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Ducks | 65c | 1,827$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,782$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.26 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 48c | 1,696$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.41 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Oilers | 59c | 1,681$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Oilers | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…dd47backed Ducks | 39c | 1,638$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilersthis page
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.