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NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,362,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,385,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,362,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Ducks37c288,944$106,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,599.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Oilers63c176,546$111,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,322.0211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers62c171,513$105,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,00667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers64c101,639$64,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,990.117545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks42c99,138$41,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,871.591,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers63c62,653$39,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,181.4541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks36c62,007$22,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,322.6222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers62c42,596$26,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,163.81,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Oilers60c39,980$23,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,992.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Oilers37c34,347$12,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,559.597038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Ducks37c29,828$11,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,036.435261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers64c29,455$18,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,603.71,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks36c26,888$9,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,679.6615949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Oilers61c23,233$14,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,060.874546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Ducks42c23,205$9,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,653.8837754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Ducks42c23,203$9,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,653.918452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Oilers37c20,206$7,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,729.912040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Oilers55c19,056$10,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,576.6713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Ducks40c17,783$7,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200.919759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Oilers37c17,364$6,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,939.14850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Ducks38c12,805$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.995046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Ducks38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.9312950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Ducks37c11,518$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,261.577737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Oilers61c10,784$6,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.453164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers59c10,529$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.262,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Ducks43c10,457$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.8710941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Ducks38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Oilers63c9,769$6,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,614.4420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3c…64b8backed Ducks38c8,951$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Ducks36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.913151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Ducks73c7,450$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Oilers60c7,431$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.7533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks38c7,348$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.4159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Oilers63c7,010$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.719353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Ducks43c6,527$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick58cpaid-78%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Oilers61c6,348$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.685276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers45c6,286$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.8189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Oilers64c6,115$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Ducks40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Ducks66c5,972$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Oilers60c5,737$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.4140356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oilers67c5,696$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.422,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Ducks37c5,579$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.1718641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers32c5,533$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.3340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers55c5,444$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.0475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Ducks37c5,425$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.155230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Ducks41c5,283$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Ducks37c5,201$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Ducks38c5,067$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.613446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Oilers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Ducks65c4,964$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Oilers63c4,770$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.91850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Oilers64c4,615$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.246253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Oilers62c4,236$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.794247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Ducks24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9832451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Ducks37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Oilers59c3,912$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.0911251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked Ducks37c3,849$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Oilers37c3,840$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.0238551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Oilers64c3,793$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.524555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Ducks41c3,793$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.0113437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Ducks36c3,749$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.6738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers59c3,731$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.91,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Ducks37c3,393$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.315541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Oilers63c3,345$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Ducks37c3,320$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.2264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Oilers64c3,058$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.76750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Oilers71c2,853$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Oilers60c2,812$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.7230552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Oilers38c2,534$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Ducks12c2,451$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Ducks36c2,421$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7213850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Oilers59c2,421$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.633650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Oilers64c2,348$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.344748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oilers38c2,336$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.9324837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Ducks13c2,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2927334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Oilers40c2,279$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.9619836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Ducks40c2,239$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.6912654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Ducks38c2,181$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers61c2,179$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Oilers63c2,160$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers59c2,143$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.612,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ducks41c2,101$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.911,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Oilers61c2,008$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.948657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24f7…75fbbacked Ducks38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Oilers61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9820450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x967e…6a83backed Oilers38c1,993$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Oilers37c1,957$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.728345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Ducks20c1,929$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.729533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Oilers54c1,925$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Ducks20c1,890$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.657152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Oilers42c1,838$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Ducks65c1,827$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oilers48c1,782$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.261,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks48c1,696$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.411,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Oilers59c1,681$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.042161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Oilers58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.897755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Ducks39c1,638$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.