NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd582a8e879fb4fd882f2d141c6687b13cbe717a781f3af925fa878c7516a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 58c | 69,391$40,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,144.07 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 43c | 45,037$19,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,353.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 42c | 33,814$14,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,201.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 23,071$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 58c | 12,469$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.14 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 10,559$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 56c | 6,490$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.84 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 5,922$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 42c | 3,786$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.15 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,274$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 2,203$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.63 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 56c | 1,626$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.25 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 1,626$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.25 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 58c | 1,505$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.21 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 59c | 1,251$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.05 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 3c | 1,005$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 43c | 860.24$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 58c | 803.24$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 64c | 765.11$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 44c | 705.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 57c | 667.04$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.83 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 491.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 58c | 402.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 56c | 390.13$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 56c | 387.49$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 58c | 337.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 55c | 318.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 58c | 299.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 295.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 286.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 55c | 266.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 61c | 240.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 230.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…1060backed Under | 45c | 216.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…c9eabacked Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 42c | 213.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 211.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 210.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 207.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 48c | 199.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 199.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 26c | 187.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…5253backed Over | 55c | 181.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 55c | 179.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…c479backed Over | 54c | 178.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb058…465cbacked Over | 56c | 175.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…99b5backed Under | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Over | 55c | 171.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Over | 56c | 162.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Over | 54c | 160.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 160.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 158.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 150.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 59c | 145.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Over | 55c | 144.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Over | 55c | 142.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…2c21backed Over | 55c | 131.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…1f84backed Over | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 124.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Over | 56c | 116.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 116.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 58c | 116.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 115.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Over | 56c | 104.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Over | 55c | 102.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 46c | 101.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 55c | 98.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 97.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…930ebacked Over | 56c | 97.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 55c | 92.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 44c | 88.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Over | 55c | 87.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Over | 56c | 82.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Over | 55c | 79.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Under | 61c | 79.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed Under | 63c | 77.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 42c | 73.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 68.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 55c | 66.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 55c | 66.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Over | 55c | 64.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 47c | 62.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 50c | 58.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 52.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…15d1backed Over | 54c | 51.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.