NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703dffbfbbfe6f291ad471331b04b90f1c9411468c56ea8b9989febddfe71d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,072 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 52c | 250,603$130,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,545.55 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 46c | 141,970$65,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,663.99 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 48c | 96,000$46,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers | 54c | 34,368$18,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,558.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 54c | 31,485$17,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,001.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 48c | 21,903$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,389.56 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks | 47c | 19,550$9,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,361.5 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 47c | 15,867$7,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 48c | 11,353$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 53c | 10,054$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks | 48c | 8,065$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.05 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Bucks | 48c | 7,680$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.6 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 52c | 4,294$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,298$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Bucks | 48c | 2,563$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 46c | 1,851$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.48 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pacers | 35c | 1,724$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.65 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 46c | 1,703$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.82 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pacers | 53c | 1,049$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.71 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 47c | 938$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bucks | 47c | 930.23$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.02 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pacers | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 52c | 673.79$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 47c | 660.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 75c | 656.77$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pacers | 31c | 563.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Pacers | 53c | 464.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pacers | 23c | 453.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 47c | 433.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.13 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Pacers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…0624backed Bucks | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Pacers | 53c | 357.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Bucks | 47c | 333.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks | 74c | 307.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 47c | 304.26$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pacers | 54c | 277.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pacers | 54c | 266.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 64c | 266.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Bucks | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bucks | 79c | 253.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Bucks | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Bucks | 48c | 241$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…e4c7backed Bucks | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Pacers | 54c | 214.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Bucks | 48c | 211.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Bucks | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Bucks | 48c | 204.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers | 53c | 200.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Pacers | 53c | 189.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Bucks | 48c | 188.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucks | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked Pacers | 54c | 172.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 47c | 163.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Bucks | 47c | 162.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Bucks | 49c | 160.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Bucks | 47c | 155.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Pacers | 30c | 148.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bucks | 47c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Pacers | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 56c | 118.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Bucks | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Pacers | 54c | 110.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Bucks | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Bucks | 47c | 100.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Bucks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Bucks | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pacers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Bucks | 47c | 88.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Bucks | 47c | 88.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Pacers | 53c | 85.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Pacers | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…415abacked Pacers | 53c | 80.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Bucks | 48c | 77.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…7dcdbacked Bucks | 47c | 76.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Bucks | 47c | 74.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Pacers | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Bucks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Bucks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Bucks | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Bucks | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Bucks | 47c | 63.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Pacers | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Bucks | 47c | 59.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Bucks | 47c | 57.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Bucks | 49c | 57.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…e83abacked Bucks | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…4bb7backed Bucks | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…c7febacked Bucks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…5d77backed Bucks | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d00…9e8dbacked Pacers | 53c | 50.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Pacers | 53c | 49.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bucks | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bucks | 80c | 48.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…306dbacked Pacers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Pacers | 53c | 44.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Pacers | 70c | 44.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.