TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$555,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,427 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Under57c258,725$147,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,473.233366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over43c111,348$47,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,468.114949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…503cbacked Over43c25,607$11,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,595.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d1e…1e33backed Over43c24,352$10,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,880.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e2…0788backed Over43c22,997$9,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,108.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33b2…0e5bbacked Under57c21,926$12,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,497.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Over43c21,911$9,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,489.222055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9e…c82bbacked Over43c20,733$8,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,817.814100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f7…64e4backed Over43c18,837$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,737.096100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc64c…7912backed Over43c18,321$7,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,442.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa988…1e4bbacked Under57c17,130$9,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,764.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…0d91backed Under57c16,928$9,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,648.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x166a…2342backed Under57c15,991$9,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,114.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4d…4a64backed Under57c15,935$9,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,082.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…3ebbbacked Under57c15,328$8,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,736.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc7…7ee0backed Under57c13,474$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2854…d8e3backed Over43c12,949$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,380.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6976…2788backed Under57c12,846$7,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,322.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d9…bfa8backed Under57c12,674$7,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.18650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004a…a037backed Over43c12,618$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,192.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e2…187bbacked Under57c11,461$6,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,532.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1504…03cebacked Over43c11,341$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2b…f78abacked Under57c11,074$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,312.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21dc…e78bbacked Under57c9,325$5,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…d3a8backed Under57c9,016$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1736…9b9ebacked Over43c8,505$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a29…db8dbacked Under57c8,300$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,731666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945f…5786backed Over43c8,119$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf24…fc7abacked Under57c8,103$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…7655backed Under57c7,922$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ebd4backed Under57c7,782$4,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ede…7a1ebacked Under57c7,705$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…ff00backed Under57c7,472$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9428…bba8backed Under57c7,126$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x957d…a7f6backed Under57c6,521$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.97944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d7…dc43backed Under57c6,503$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…6e17backed Under57c6,042$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7a…3b51backed Over43c5,842$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1821…b694backed Over43c5,825$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…858cbacked Under57c5,725$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e79…5542backed Over43c5,459$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e4…dfdbbacked Over43c5,405$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f08…8b32backed Over43c5,400$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0783100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ea…94e9backed Under57c5,268$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0446…04f2backed Over43c5,202$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46e4…c74bbacked Over43c5,189$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…a8afbacked Under57c5,072$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa778…0a56backed Over43c5,024$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7db…7b38backed Under57c4,923$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd916…fdcabacked Over43c4,628$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…38d2backed Over43c4,018$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…deb9backed Over43c3,846$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+75.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc18f…a78bbacked Over43c3,272$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under55c3,116$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.946756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…58afbacked Over43c3,112$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…8731backed Over43c3,107$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…5557backed Over43c3,079$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf62e…a5b7backed Over43c3,021$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+65.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…e360backed Over43c3,014$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc14…8673backed Over43c2,974$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…8c70backed Over43c2,968$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fd4…a5bfbacked Over43c2,963$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a17…b241backed Over43c2,960$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f9…a7ffbacked Over43c2,881$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc892…f64bbacked Over43c2,858$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a38…3be5backed Over43c2,849$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d8…8662backed Over43c2,793$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c7…3b6abacked Over43c2,786$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de2…f881backed Over43c2,784$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9da3…cae9backed Over43c2,784$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4f…b762backed Over43c2,772$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a69…1d28backed Over43c2,737$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4966…ae6abacked Over43c2,684$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf93…5730backed Over43c2,675$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda7…838abacked Over43c2,665$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.055100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1055backed Over43c2,647$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d9…3a30backed Over43c2,631$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dad…5676backed Over43c2,621$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.97580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1803…2f9abacked Over43c2,602$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68a0…b5b1backed Over43c2,556$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d93…88bbbacked Over43c2,553$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a18…b079backed Over43c2,544$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…1f6fbacked Over43c2,512$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c5…90d0backed Over43c2,491$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.875100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fd0…fa64backed Over43c2,475$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…f80bbacked Over43c2,466$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fd…aa69backed Over43c2,407$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…1aa5backed Over43c2,402$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9660…4e16backed Under57c2,389$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c4…c922backed Over43c2,319$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a03…1209backed Over43c2,293$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d1…00edbacked Over43c2,281$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…2443backed Over43c2,238$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e2…9011backed Over43c2,214$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf996…5be2backed Over43c2,137$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,128$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f7…0cc6backed Over43c2,091$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe2a…8e4dbacked Over43c2,034$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x642d…43d4backed Over43c1,988$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.