NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3b297e81b1c66ed15115bf3482beefdbb6ce4b7174ddc89e7a21a162a71aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,527 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,732$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.95 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 945$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 53c | 480.68$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 320.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 309.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Under | 49c | 291.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 279.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 277.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 249.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 180.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 51c | 148.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 51c | 142.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 136.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 112.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 100.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 49c | 90.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 71.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Under | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Under | 49c | 21.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 20.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 71c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.