TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$731,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,524 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken56c168,969$94,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,845.2851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Canucks44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken57c95,742$54,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,421.348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Canucks45c95,725$42,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,611.3311052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Canucks0c89,890$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9c…8824backed Canucks0c89,890$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks39c45,578$17,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,664.881,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Kraken56c38,793$21,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,068.853844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Canucks44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,20022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canucks43c29,796$12,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,812.2340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canucks43c25,946$11,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,156.8867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canucks38c18,781$7,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,182.7427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken57c15,220$8,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,544.679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Kraken56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Canucks44c12,311$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.1261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Kraken71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kraken57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Canucks43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Kraken57c9,999$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.5710145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kraken57c9,628$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.0732151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Canucks43c9,302$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Canucks44c6,750$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9702536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken56c6,283$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.0889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kraken56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Canucks5c5,555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.974912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks42c5,551$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.231,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Kraken57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Canucks43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken56c4,087$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.132,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kraken56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Canucks44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Canucks43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9811553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Canucks44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks44c3,333$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kraken55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.8210850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Canucks44c3,108$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.522650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed Canucks45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canucks43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks36c2,873$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kraken57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Canucks44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken54c2,049$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.651,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canucks43c1,977$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks44c1,755$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.1863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Kraken79c1,733$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.955735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kraken55c1,700$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken56c1,695$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canucks44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70427850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Canucks45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks20c1,544$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.032,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Kraken57c1,518$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.547755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Canucks44c1,516$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.0451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canucks44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd7…d2dfbacked Canucks44c1,243$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Canucks44c1,147$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.611764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canucks45c1,088$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.451,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Kraken59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4109853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken56c990$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.654047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2f…2a5fbacked Kraken55c971.56$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canucks5c944.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Canucks44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3968060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Kraken57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38722352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Kraken55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Kraken56c894.37$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Canucks11c893.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2711950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kraken57c890.35$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…3368backed Canucks46c821.8$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1537…bbc0backed Kraken57c812$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6989…fea8backed Canucks44c802$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.881030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Kraken56c799.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9860042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canucks42c786.26$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…afd3backed Canucks44c778$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6554…af48backed Kraken57c768$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.241050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Canucks43c760$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.814954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d9…f46fbacked Kraken57c744$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.921225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Kraken63c719.49$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.492763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks26c710.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.063,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Canucks16c710$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3739344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…a1f1backed Kraken57c701$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.433844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks43c644.94$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.051,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Canucks44c613.64$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Canucks44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26432150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Canucks13c591.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Kraken57c590$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.720655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1b…5afdbacked Kraken57c580.86$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8615053.3%80 W · 70 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Kraken57c578.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.953969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Kraken57c578.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9521534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Canucks44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Canucks44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d8…4df8backed Kraken57c539$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kraken56c526.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8236648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbae9…66b4backed Kraken57c513$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.591729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kraken69c508.96$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.781,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Canucks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Kraken55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22549249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.