TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,337 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks54c276,381$148,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,037.3766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Clippers47c183,330$86,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,164.8229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks53c166,501$88,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,245.4710049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Clippers46c96,341$44,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,024.1219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Clippers47c52,953$24,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,065.2716039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers47c37,515$17,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,034.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Clippers47c34,913$16,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,503.8628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers47c17,257$8,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,204.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers46c13,066$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,090.4748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Clippers47c9,450$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,008.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks53c8,925$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,715.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers48c6,507$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b06…93f7backed Bucks52c5,192$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…672cbacked Clippers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…c4f7backed Clippers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf131…ad17backed Bucks52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers47c2,367$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers50c2,176$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Clippers45c1,520$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83611241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers46c1,108$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.931,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bucks54c867.7$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers47c838.3$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.323850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers45c733$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.151,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers44c604.21$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.361,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Bucks52c577$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.041,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers45c494.6$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Bucks56c467.35$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bucks21c299.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Clippers45c288.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers47c264.95$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.481,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Bucks55c262.11$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7621550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers45c259.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Bucks32c250$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8113536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Clippers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Clippers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Clippers47c208.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.417145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Bucks55c201.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11146346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers48c201.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers47c200.93$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.491,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Clippers66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Bucks54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Bucks55c183.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.813060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Bucks55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33e…c742backed Clippers67c180.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.93887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Bucks54c139$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0629352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Bucks53c132.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5747852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers45c126$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bucks52c112.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Clippers45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1197049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Clippers50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5519957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked Clippers46c109.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.374553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Clippers48c99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Bucks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…1253backed Bucks55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cda…b1f8backed Bucks54c89.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Bucks54c85.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Bucks53c84.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a3…9551backed Bucks61c82.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clippers47c80.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Bucks54c78.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6125245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87e…3389backed Bucks53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Bucks53c74.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Clippers46c69.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7257250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5763…9266backed Bucks51c66.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…42c2backed Bucks53c65.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Clippers48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…8ffabacked Clippers51c61.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Clippers45c59.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Clippers51c58.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5413954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…4038backed Bucks54c58.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Bucks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Clippers46c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…039cbacked Bucks54c54.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers53c54.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Clippers47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Bucks38c53.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Clippers46c51.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Clippers46c50.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.286342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers47c50.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.681,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb1ce…ed4ebacked Clippers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb471…439fbacked Bucks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc99…23f7backed Bucks53c47.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c02…442ebacked Bucks53c46.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…fffebacked Bucks54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Bucks54c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7611847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Clippers50c42.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1234247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Clippers46c42.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Bucks56c41.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0713253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers46c40.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Clippers46c37.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe58…ba98backed Bucks53c37.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9077…5050backed Bucks41c36.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Clippers48c35.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3316551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.