NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f20d97a1f310b6b2f279f39d03fd2a51e54cc244dc64f257b78e991dd843c15

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,753 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd752…a1c5backed Over	51c	8,128$4,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,944.25	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	47c	3,801$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,014.53	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over	48c	3,328$1,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736.28	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under	52c	3,005$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.49	42	7.1%3 W · 39 L	-8.1wins	-0.19per pick	26cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	48c	2,686$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.11	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	50c	2,118$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.16	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	53c	2,029$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.16	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	2,007$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.38	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under	51c	1,995$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.6	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	1,993$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.52	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	53c	1,941$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.51	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	53c	1,673$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.67	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	1,596$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under	53c	1,280$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.4	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	50c	1,229$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.58	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	1,229$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.23	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	47c	1,098$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.83	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over	47c	1,006$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.13	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over	48c	799.99$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	751.15$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.61	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	661.67$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.99	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over	49c	509.97$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.09	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	51c	485$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.35	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over	48c	428.95$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.3	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe905…0efbbacked Over	48c	408.88$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.62	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under	54c	340.99$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	46c	315.3$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over	48c	293.96$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.96	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	47c	213$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.89	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	47c	187.54$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.4	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under	53c	178$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.34	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	40c	155.91$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.46	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over	49c	120.42$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.42	178	48.3%86 W · 92 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	46c	111.59$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.26	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under	53c	110$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.3	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under	22c	99.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	46c	94.21$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.56	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over	78c	93.54$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.26	200	49%98 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	92.23$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.14	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	67c	82.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	53c	82.14$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.53	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	39c	78.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	55c	75.34$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.48	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	33c	69.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over	62c	64.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.62	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	50c	63.01$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.51	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under	33c	54.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	52.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.92	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over	48c	47.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	44.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	46c	44.34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	34c	40.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under	48c	38.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	51c	37.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	47c	37.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under	53c	37.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	54c	36.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under	56c	34.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over	49c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	32c	32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	53c	31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	405	48.6%197 W · 208 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Under	49c	28.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	45c	27.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.21	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	55c	26.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over	52c	26.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under	52c	24.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	198	51%101 W · 97 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under	53c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	69c	21.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under	55c	19.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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