NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee73643662f6f8697f58b4440f93331d47593a3ce960f25b3e81431042897bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 2,133$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Under | 49c | 1,577$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 1,430$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.89 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 55c | 460$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 442.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Over | 54c | 295.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 288.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 29c | 228.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 50c | 210.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 66c | 128.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 116.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 110.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 94.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 46c | 87.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 48c | 84.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 52c | 80.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 79.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 52c | 75.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 22c | 69.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 48c | 57.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 55.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 52c | 39.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 52c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked Under | 50c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.