TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,270,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,270,578 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks51c1,002,814$506,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506,479.4910049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers49c240,628$118,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,364.5166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers51c162,825$83,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,784.3787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks47c140,956$66,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,249.3854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers52c122,531$64,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,377.4936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Clippers53c117,925$62,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,424.5311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Clippers50c98,104$48,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,161.0811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers49c82,917$41,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,880.514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Bucks51c69,935$35,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,968.732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers50c51,756$25,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,854.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers50c40,200$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,10059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks48c37,591$18,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,149.091,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c36,736$18,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,676.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers50c26,151$13,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,135.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers50c23,191$11,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,695.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers49c21,641$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,064.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Clippers49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers50c20,000$9,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Clippers49c18,888$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,632.8815952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Clippers50c18,200$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,106.9924045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Clippers50c17,143$8,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,571.4218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Clippers53c14,814$7,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,962.5817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Clippers49c14,299$7,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,292.497150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Bucks50c12,600$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30017554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Clippers52c11,172$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,362.7725945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.881,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Clippers49c9,950$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,074.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers50c9,118$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers50c8,579$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clippers50c8,555$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.5937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Clippers49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers48c7,489$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers52c7,460$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Clippers50c7,360$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.2634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Bucks51c7,150$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.136654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers49c6,872$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks53c6,825$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Clippers48c6,698$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.721968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Clippers50c6,170$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Clippers48c6,104$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Clippers49c5,882$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Clippers52c5,804$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.2526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Clippers49c5,654$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.3115147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Clippers48c5,620$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks51c5,587$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.011,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Clippers52c5,124$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.2224450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Clippers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc90…f310backed Clippers49c4,745$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Clippers52c4,639$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.489352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Clippers49c4,320$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.48747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Clippers50c4,196$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.239952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf815…a557backed Bucks1c4,111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Clippers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers51c4,000$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Clippers52c3,185$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.739053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers48c3,130$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Clippers48c2,708$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers50c2,600$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.233,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Clippers53c2,358$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.2619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Bucks50c2,131$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.024443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Clippers51c2,128$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.823237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks51c2,012$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.9527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Clippers51c2,003$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4716953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Clippers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Clippers50c1,980$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9903151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Clippers52c1,924$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.7330446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers48c1,880$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Clippers49c1,833$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.755354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers52c1,730$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Clippers50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7452055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Clippers50c1,410$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70510556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Bucks51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Clippers49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.9713857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers49c1,361$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.12,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers49c1,313$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.332,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Clippers48c1,255$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.3610651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers54c1,173$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.831,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers50c1,127$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers49c1,101$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Clippers52c1,085$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6217850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers49c1,043$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.975,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Bucks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9824050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Clippers49c959.18$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.187552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers56c800.42$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Clippers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.715240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Clippers49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Clippers50c766.32$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9421550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers50c730.87$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.811,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Clippers48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1714152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Clippers50c721.5$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7536351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks48c713$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.241,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Clippers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.