TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,404 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb275…c76fbacked Under44c9,118$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00015551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c7,696$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.881,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over54c6,259$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c5,569$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c5,239$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under53c3,318$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.6632051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under53c2,720$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c1,509$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.576764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c1,393$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.112,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under40c1,247$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over66c1,140$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under55c1,099$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.4234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over47c1,031$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under52c1,018$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c929.32$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Over78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19812329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c882.51$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.92,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c760.71$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over53c652.14$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.810239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under62c625.81$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3888853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under39c589.82$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c577.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.161,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c575.2$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Over53c566.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.153636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over76c556.35$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5911753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under55c551$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.051,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c502.05$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27516159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c461.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15921049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over65c289.92$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.151,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under42c242.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1918052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under47c203.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.461,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under15c202.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Under58c185.4$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Under59c169.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under39c159.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4927138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c154.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Over58c145.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f7…32aabacked Over76c131.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.783154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under24c126.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c122.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over48c122$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under37c121.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3953…c360backed Under10c110.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c105.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.021,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8511354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under58c96.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9936949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over56c93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.011,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c92.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under21c90.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.967154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under41c88.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.597028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over57c85.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under53c84.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over46c83.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.229247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over51c81.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under65c81.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c80.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under31c75.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Under34c71.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.193933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c70.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Under41c68.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over57c68.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c66.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.414444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c66.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6929046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under57c54.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7720049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Over44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x900c…f55cbacked Over44c50.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.292334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0816947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Over57c47.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Over55c45.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.373056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under44c44.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Under55c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.447445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb856…e133backed Under65c43.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.281540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under32c43.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0615662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.217652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c41.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Under45c41.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.494332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under59c38.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.415050%25 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Under46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33823.7%9 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under43c37.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.