NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3db295cda3bf9a8a262c7d88aaf0bedd2ae426ec1350dc9a8c74de3357b04614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $696,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Suns | 48c | 259,755$124,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,923.27 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 52c | 163,488$85,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,013.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 46c | 110,588$50,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,823.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 54c | 101,970$55,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,062.64 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 52c | 28,015$14,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,568 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Thunder | 50c | 27,999$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Thunder | 50c | 20,817$10,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,458.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Thunder | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 52c | 14,981$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,738.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 57c | 11,968$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.04 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 48c | 10,989$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Thunder | 52c | 10,802$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.33 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Thunder | 50c | 9,769$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.91 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Suns | 49c | 9,523$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.45 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 52c | 9,452$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.85 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Thunder | 52c | 9,338$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Suns | 46c | 8,622$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.63 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 52c | 8,383$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.19 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Thunder | 57c | 6,965$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.32 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 45c | 6,775$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.23 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,701$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.53 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 48c | 6,553$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.47 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 50c | 6,348$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.89 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 54c | 6,257$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Suns | 56c | 5,971$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 46c | 5,738$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.51 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 54c | 5,384$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.55 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Thunder | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 47c | 4,482$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.44 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Suns | 41c | 4,403$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.21 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Suns | 46c | 4,203$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 48c | 4,123$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 47c | 4,114$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Suns | 51c | 3,985$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 52c | 3,857$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.67 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Thunder | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,790$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…979fbacked Suns | 48c | 3,552$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 47c | 3,395$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…a548backed Thunder | 52c | 3,342$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 55c | 3,288$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Suns | 47c | 3,075$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.14 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Thunder | 33c | 2,944$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.55 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Suns | 48c | 2,393$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.22 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Suns | 48c | 2,348$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.26 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 47c | 2,336$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.57 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Suns | 47c | 2,157$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.18 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Suns | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Suns | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Suns | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Suns | 48c | 1,817$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.58 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,744$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.19 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 43c | 1,656$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Suns | 36c | 1,636$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.91 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,610$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,523$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Suns | 50c | 1,519$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.51 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…381ebacked Thunder | 52c | 1,458$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Suns | 48c | 1,441$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.53 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Thunder | 47c | 1,364$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.55 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 52c | 1,362$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Suns | 48c | 1,323$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.67 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 49c | 1,172$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 47c | 1,155$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.19 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 43c | 1,118$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.53 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Suns | 52c | 1,058$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.58 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Suns | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Suns | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Thunder | 52c | 971.08$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Suns | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 53c | 956.64$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Thunder | 52c | 944.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Suns | 49c | 937.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Suns | 49c | 922.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.88 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns | 55c | 917.84$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Thunder | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Thunder | 54c | 907.66$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 54c | 903.14$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…0e7fbacked Thunder | 52c | 872.58$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 52c | 847.35$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.62 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Suns | 47c | 831.52$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.71 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Thunder | 66c | 742.68$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.78 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Thunder | 54c | 725.77$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 46c | 705.38$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.47 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Thunder | 54c | 697.21$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Thunder | 53c | 687.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Thunder | 53c | 678.32$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 52c | 660.64$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.53 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Thunder | 54c | 649.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Thunder | 53c | 632.7$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.33 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.