NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe362d3629f009ee271f998f6225b809a567263a91c07de9e5c2beb8cf42e462f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,269,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,262,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,269,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 48c | 511,141$245,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,347.58 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Suns | 52c | 385,185$200,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,888.8 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Suns | 52c | 200,998$104,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,193.14 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 51c | 93,815$47,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,228.18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Thunder | 48c | 70,002$33,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,900.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,399.94 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Thunder | 49c | 60,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.95 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 52c | 59,543$30,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,580.86 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 52c | 54,240$28,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,232.58 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Suns | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 48c | 48,641$23,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,094.48 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Thunder | 48c | 40,367$19,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,376 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Suns | 51c | 34,966$17,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,133.11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Thunder | 48c | 30,663$14,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,618.15 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 49c | 29,853$14,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,538.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 48c | 24,650$11,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,832.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Suns | 53c | 23,559$12,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,080.78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Thunder | 48c | 20,183$9,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,688 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Suns | 52c | 20,002$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.88 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 49c | 17,035$8,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,325.24 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 48c | 15,561$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Suns | 52c | 15,552$8,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.73 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…905bbacked Thunder | 50c | 15,210$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 53c | 13,096$6,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Thunder | 48c | 13,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Thunder | 47c | 12,347$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.27 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 47c | 10,654$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.45 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Thunder | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 48c | 9,663$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.24 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 53c | 9,287$4,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.66 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 56c | 8,869$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Thunder | 49c | 8,616$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 47c | 8,110$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.7 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Thunder | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.98 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Suns | 54c | 7,227$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.02 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Suns | 38c | 7,187$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.42 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,489$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.83 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Thunder | 47c | 6,180$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 52c | 5,822$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,356$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.32 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Suns | 54c | 5,307$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.32 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Suns | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.73 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 48c | 4,495$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Suns | 48c | 4,033$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.79 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder | 47c | 3,842$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.69 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Thunder | 47c | 3,785$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.95 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 48c | 3,534$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,482$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 52c | 3,361$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Suns | 49c | 3,297$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.39 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Suns | 52c | 3,266$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.39 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Thunder | 34c | 3,198$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 53c | 2,942$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.86 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Suns | 52c | 2,777$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.92 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 50c | 2,522$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.82 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Suns | 51c | 2,388$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.38 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Suns | 53c | 2,384$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.32 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Suns | 53c | 2,263$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Thunder | 48c | 2,226$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.23 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,171$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.76 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 51c | 2,111$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…8039backed Suns | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Suns | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Suns | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 48c | 1,898$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.08 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 48c | 1,863$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.2 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Suns | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Thunder | 49c | 1,733$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…7239backed Thunder | 52c | 1,698$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.8 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,594$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.76 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Thunder | 48c | 1,514$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Thunder | 42c | 1,498$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Suns | 66c | 1,369$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,350$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Suns | 47c | 1,157$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.67 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Thunder | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Suns | 52c | 1,020$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Thunder | 42c | 990.6$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Thunder | 47c | 981.23$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…441dbacked Suns | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 52c | 968.24$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Suns | 51c | 918.5$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.43 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Thunder | 53c | 914.96$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder | 25c | 854.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns | 52c | 839.77$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.09 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Thunder | 47c | 826.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Suns | 53c | 801.13$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.44 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Suns | 47c | 779.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Thunder | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Suns | 39c | 742.45$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.