TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes52c290.23$151 inWon+$139.0325657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No48c270$130 inLost-$129.656050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No50c237.96$119 inLost-$118.9885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No50c195.17$99 inLost-$98.5439265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No20c156.52$31 inLost-$31.1125840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No49c109.22$53 inLost-$53.3940546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c106.52$53 inLost-$53.261,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes51c100$51 inWon+$4940053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes49c100$49 inWon+$5115156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes50c100$50 inWon+$5041050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf1…4ae9backed Yes50c96.53$48 inWon+$48.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked No50c88$44 inLost-$4427059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c81.85$38 inLost-$37.6590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Yes49c79.25$39 inWon+$40.4825360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes48c78.8$38 inWon+$40.620951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Yes50c67.9$34 inWon+$33.958045%36 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No46c64.81$30 inLost-$29.816147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Yes50c58.2$29 inWon+$29.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes54c45.02$24 inWon+$20.713542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Yes48c40.37$19 inWon+$20.999843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c7…9da5backed Yes50c38.8$19 inWon+$19.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes50c38.8$19 inWon+$19.45337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…8f62backed Yes50c25.03$13 inWon+$12.512045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfea…dc29backed Yes54c19.81$11 inWon+$9.117150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.