TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9c7…9da5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3821.1%8 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.23
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$21.46
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$35.04
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$95.48
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$44.52
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$69.14
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alvin Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.67
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.02
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$38.99
Will Lerone Murphy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.23
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed SuYoung You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$80
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+90.3%+$27.09
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$43.82
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$47.08
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+60%+$47.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$66.84
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.13
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$37.08
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.