UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3edc42fd89435f653ea67f727464a11a956007f0a155974ad56b52a0ceb090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RJ Harrisof Alvin Hines, RJ Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed RJ Harris | 51c | 15,000$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.96 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed RJ Harris | 78c | 9,725$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.54 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Alvin Hines | 50c | 7,914$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.8 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alvin Hines | 49c | 4,343$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.07 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed RJ Harris | 47c | 4,339$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.8 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 3,964$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.14 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 3,458$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.91 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed RJ Harris | 49c | 2,970$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.7 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked RJ Harris | 49c | 2,910$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.32 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed RJ Harris | 50c | 2,687$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.46 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 2,528$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.21 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 1,904$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 1,553$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.82 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 1,508$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.23 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Alvin Hines | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.76 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 1,147$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Alvin Hines | 56c | 1,139$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.77 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 1,091$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.98 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed RJ Harris | 43c | 1,005$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alvin Hines | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Alvin Hines | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed RJ Harris | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed RJ Harris | 50c | 985.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Alvin Hines | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Alvin Hines | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed RJ Harris | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Alvin Hines | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked RJ Harris | 48c | 577.78$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 572.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed RJ Harris | 50c | 501$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed RJ Harris | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed RJ Harris | 49c | 481.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…8e54backed RJ Harris | 44c | 441.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed RJ Harris | 49c | 411.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alvin Hines | 54c | 410.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked RJ Harris | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed RJ Harris | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alvin Hines | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…1f94backed RJ Harris | 50c | 370.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RJ Harris | 76c | 351$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed RJ Harris | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 342.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 313.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Alvin Hines | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed RJ Harris | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Alvin Hines | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Alvin Hines | 53c | 279.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed RJ Harris | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…be12backed Alvin Hines | 53c | 249.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 238.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed RJ Harris | 49c | 232.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed RJ Harris | 49c | 226.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 217.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed RJ Harris | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Alvin Hines | 52c | 208.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…0a11backed RJ Harris | 48c | 201.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed RJ Harris | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Alvin Hines | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Alvin Hines | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 187.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed RJ Harris | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed RJ Harris | 49c | 171.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked RJ Harris | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked RJ Harris | 50c | 153.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Alvin Hines | 52c | 147.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…a963backed Alvin Hines | 55c | 138.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alvin Hines | 21c | 133.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed RJ Harris | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 126.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed RJ Harris | 50c | 124.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Alvin Hines | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Alvin Hines | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed RJ Harris | 49c | 118.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alvin Hines | 54c | 117.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alvin Hines | 17c | 105.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed RJ Harris | 47c | 103.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 251 | 60.2%151 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…4c88backed RJ Harris | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked RJ Harris | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Alvin Hines | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Alvin Hines | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alvin Hines | 38c | 98.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked RJ Harris | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed RJ Harris | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed RJ Harris | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…d183backed RJ Harris | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will RJ Harris win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.