NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c2598bc3a8e92bcebf4fb190d47a7e10332565599f118027c576b70d1eda7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Flyers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,999.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers | 47c | 94,031$44,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,194.63 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 47c | 85,816$40,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,217.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 53c | 76,000$40,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,720 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 53c | 39,637$21,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,629.36 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Flyers | 46c | 34,571$15,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,902.69 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flyers | 47c | 25,763$12,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,108.61 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Capitals | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 68c | 11,766$7,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.02 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Capitals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 54c | 9,888$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.3 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 52c | 9,735$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 47c | 8,656$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.48 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flyers | 22c | 8,372$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.9 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Capitals | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 43c | 6,241$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 52c | 5,974$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Flyers | 47c | 5,891$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.69 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 53c | 5,014$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.74 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.96 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Flyers | 47c | 4,921$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.65 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 78c | 4,799$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 28c | 4,753$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 46c | 4,316$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.93 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Flyers | 48c | 3,754$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.1 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Capitals | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flyers | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 23c | 3,241$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flyers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Capitals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 23c | 2,922$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.03 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 55c | 2,837$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.21 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 47c | 2,279$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.77 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Flyers | 39c | 2,246$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.94 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 79c | 2,055$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 13c | 1,934$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flyers | 17c | 1,465$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 60c | 1,452$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.08 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Capitals | 54c | 1,450$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,281$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.14 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Flyers | 36c | 1,190$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 33c | 1,178$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Flyers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Capitals | 53c | 1,091$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.72 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Flyers | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Flyers | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Flyers | 14c | 1,020$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Flyers | 47c | 1,020$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.08 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flyers | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 23c | 952.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.91 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Capitals | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Capitals | 54c | 920$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flyers | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 30c | 847.81$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Flyers | 46c | 846.54$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Flyers | 21c | 845.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 53c | 739.94$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Flyers | 47c | 736.54$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.17 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Capitals | 55c | 669$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Flyers | 36c | 645$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Flyers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flyers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flyers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Flyers | 30c | 520$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Flyers | 47c | 518.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Capitals | 53c | 512.91$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Capitals | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Flyers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flyers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Capitals | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Flyers | 48c | 499.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Flyers | 45c | 493.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Flyers | 4c | 486.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Flyers | 44c | 472.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Flyers | 22c | 460$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Flyers | 48c | 447.92$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Flyers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Flyers | 30c | 429.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Flyers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Flyers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Flyers | 46c | 423.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Capitals | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.