TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,096,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,123,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche56c364,972$206,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,055.0322443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights44c191,000$84,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,959.8548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights44c91,282$40,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,278.7948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Avalanche56c89,286$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights45c67,398$30,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,082.3819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519b…624ebacked Avalanche55c50,826$27,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,954.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,500.1767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Avalanche53c37,685$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Avalanche56c36,970$20,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,702.971947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Golden Knights45c26,737$12,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,705.3511052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights44c22,474$9,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,686.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Golden Knights52c19,400$10,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,311.892572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights45c16,609$7,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,095.0189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Avalanche52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.692166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights43c14,691$6,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,302.92,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights44c14,050$6,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,863.3820756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights43c11,920$5,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,778.533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights42c10,398$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.4740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights44c10,227$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,727.2759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights44c10,221$4,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.2761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche52c10,177$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,296.4375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Avalanche57c10,036$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,705.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche52c8,469$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.522,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche58c8,165$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.5189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Avalanche55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4005276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Avalanche56c7,956$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.121758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Golden Knights46c7,364$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.486253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights44c7,111$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.131,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Avalanche0c6,981$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights79c6,294$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.7489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights40c6,034$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,634.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche57c6,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.8711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights39c5,926$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.5127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Avalanche55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche55c4,894$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.9461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche57c4,866$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.351,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights43c4,500$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights43c4,500$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.7751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights44c4,455$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.7145751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Golden Knights43c4,275$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.621675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.9860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Golden Knights45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.974841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights44c3,760$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.4743548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche55c3,730$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.7227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche57c3,684$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Golden Knights44c3,397$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.069751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Avalanche61c3,292$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd22c…287dbacked Avalanche48c3,115$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights42c3,100$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.2333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Golden Knights43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7103959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Avalanche52c2,970$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.0813850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Golden Knights41c2,944$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.329038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights67c2,897$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.181,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche56c2,641$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Avalanche56c2,534$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.964452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Golden Knights64c2,415$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.9714757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights42c2,323$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.781,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Golden Knights39c2,315$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.6941354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Avalanche40c2,294$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.868345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights44c2,292$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.5820450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Golden Knights44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.726758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden Knights44c2,210$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.7118853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Golden Knights46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9155446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Golden Knights48c2,168$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.1512654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden Knights42c2,146$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.081,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Golden Knights44c2,047$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.9419150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Golden Knights42c2,007$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.066256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12031148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Golden Knights48c2,000$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.3219963.8%127 W · 72 L+27.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Golden Knights47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0603100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+175.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Avalanche34c1,944$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.5110746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Avalanche42c1,915$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Avalanche56c1,887$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.725541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Golden Knights44c1,849$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.327357.5%42 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Golden Knights47c1,814$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.3712152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Golden Knights45c1,772$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.810941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Golden Knights43c1,744$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.8338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche56c1,711$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Avalanche54c1,710$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden Knights46c1,677$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6214946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Avalanche53c1,650$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.742920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x561a…7be2backed Avalanche52c1,574$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.61030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Avalanche49c1,473$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1627037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Avalanche58c1,473$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Avalanche52c1,439$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.765870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights44c1,428$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Golden Knights44c1,418$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.1111243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights44c1,416$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.051,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Avalanche56c1,367$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.349457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed Golden Knights41c1,364$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Avalanche54c1,294$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights40c1,281$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.761,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Golden Knights38c1,263$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.635945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.