NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47ca39203676224bb0e576a4730c5289ff225445c55beedd0b5b9ff37b1033f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 34c | 1,809$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 33c | 1,669$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.91 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Avalanche | 27c | 1,503$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Avalanche | 33c | 1,355$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.16 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 1,209$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.83 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 4c | 1,033$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 877.79$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Golden Knights | 66c | 855.18$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights | 71c | 737.92$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 327.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 282.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Avalanche | 32c | 233.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden Knights | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 75c | 184.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 161.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Golden Knights | 73c | 159.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 27c | 151.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 103.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 71c | 85.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Avalanche | 36c | 80.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Golden Knights | 64c | 73.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 61.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Avalanche | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Golden Knights | 67c | 59.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 59.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 65c | 59.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Golden Knights | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 34c | 58.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Golden Knights | 66c | 54.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avalanche | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Avalanche | 29c | 51.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Avalanche | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Golden Knights | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden Knights | 74c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 68c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Golden Knights | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Golden Knights | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.