NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6b379a2ac756502a395537c4d1d150637fcc4d39fad7e0ea9963a68bb21af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 2,327$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.32 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 814$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 780.41$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 30c | 620.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.29 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 515.89$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 379.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 340.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 301.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 264$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 196.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 42c | 190.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 186.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 182.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 179.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 56c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 124.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 40c | 122.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Under | 34c | 121.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 95.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 33c | 91.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 91.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 90.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 60c | 90.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 57c | 87.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 43c | 85.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 58c | 79.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 65.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 55c | 63.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 45c | 46.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 57c | 43.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 42.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 43c | 38.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 43c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…092abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…d446backed Over | 56c | 24.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…768abacked Over | 56c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 61c | 21.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…16d5backed Over | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.