NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd149cc459f7f0a3e268d3f274fea6b290b802d4a841761ba13ba8f021bd0b36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,189,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,000 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 46c | 229,267$105,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,804.43 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 54c | 114,491$61,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,825.37 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Penguins | 45c | 80,076$36,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,041.65 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 55c | 65,000$35,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,750 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 55c | 63,668$34,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,896.24 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 54c | 63,160$34,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,106.32 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 45c | 43,029$19,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,666.2 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 54c | 34,492$18,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,625.68 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders | 58c | 24,503$14,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,111.73 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 54c | 18,888$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.52 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…8e62backed Islanders | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…eac0backed Penguins | 46c | 12,499$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Penguins | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.84 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…3e84backed Islanders | 53c | 11,900$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Islanders | 55c | 11,834$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.67 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 45c | 11,777$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…681abacked Islanders | 54c | 9,879$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…77babacked Islanders | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 46c | 8,850$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…787bbacked Penguins | 47c | 8,390$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 54c | 7,332$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.15 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 77c | 7,168$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders | 0c | 6,915$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Penguins | 46c | 6,057$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Islanders | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 46c | 5,042$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.86 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…af4bbacked Penguins | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Penguins | 46c | 4,392$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.68 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 46c | 4,304$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.75 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Penguins | 47c | 3,962$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…403fbacked Penguins | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 54c | 3,777$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.58 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Penguins | 37c | 3,734$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.87 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,700$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Islanders | 53c | 3,578$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Islanders | 70c | 3,104$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.14 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 46c | 3,018$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.54 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…02a2backed Islanders | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 49c | 2,887$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 44c | 2,831$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.31 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Penguins | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 54c | 2,779$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ae…6cf9backed Islanders | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…bfb9backed Islanders | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 54c | 2,475$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.6 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 11c | 2,473$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Penguins | 44c | 2,439$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.97 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Penguins | 46c | 2,250$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…4566backed Penguins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Penguins | 46c | 2,185$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.74 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Penguins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Islanders | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Islanders | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 46c | 2,000$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.83 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 54c | 1,932$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.07 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Islanders | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.01 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Penguins | 65c | 1,808$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.95 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…79f3backed Islanders | 50c | 1,675$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.85 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Islanders | 67c | 1,636$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,600$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.94 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Islanders | 54c | 1,560$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.62 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 57c | 1,289$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.54 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c6…5fd1backed Islanders | 54c | 1,278$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Penguins | 26c | 1,276$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.7 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Islanders | 30c | 1,269$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 46c | 1,223$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.21 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Penguins | 47c | 1,206$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.74 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…b86ebacked Penguins | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Penguins | 60c | 1,200$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.84 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Penguins | 45c | 1,191$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.27 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Islanders | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Islanders | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Islanders | 55c | 1,149$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.33 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Islanders | 56c | 1,143$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.51 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 58c | 1,117$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…fe42backed Islanders | 56c | 1,113$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…541bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,113$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Penguins | 67c | 1,098$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.62 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Islanders | 48c | 1,079$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Penguins | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.66 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Islanders | 49c | 1,058$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,025$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Islanders | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…9b75backed Islanders | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 47c | 929.76$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 55c | 919.98$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 62c | 893.62$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.46 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Islanders | 54c | 880.49$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.46 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Islandersthis page
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.