NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde62f9605dc41edfa075faecc0e50dc6214c86ad17b6b4defebdf519659d40a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 18,716$8,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.79 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 54c | 15,181$8,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,154.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 7,950$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.5 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 7,102$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 56c | 5,388$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 4,390$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.7 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 2,425$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.51 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 46c | 2,092$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 2,066$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.57 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 54c | 1,996$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.73 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 1,956$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.95 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 1,658$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.74 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,503$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.47 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Over | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 1,379$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.03 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 1,217$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.59 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 79c | 1,101$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.68 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 65c | 856.61$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 21c | 777.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.83 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 712.36$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 55c | 704.07$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.24 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 703.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 53c | 639.96$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 599$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 439$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 328.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 295.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 294.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 268.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 43c | 265.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…ff2abacked Under | 54c | 199$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf1…b7aebacked Over | 46c | 197.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…1043backed Under | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…a6b5backed Over | 46c | 184.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd17…ff96backed Over | 46c | 182.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…a848backed Under | 54c | 182$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…dd01backed Over | 46c | 178.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…7142backed Under | 54c | 177$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…a6d0backed Over | 46c | 175.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…f77fbacked Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…b75fbacked Over | 46c | 174.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…7472backed Under | 54c | 174$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…565ebacked Under | 54c | 172.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b7…8c5fbacked Over | 46c | 172.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 138.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Over | 50c | 119.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…aba5backed Under | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 103.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 45c | 92.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…55dfbacked Under | 33c | 89.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 46c | 71.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 36c | 70.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 46c | 61.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 54.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 47.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…80a0backed Under | 55c | 46.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 34c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under | 54c | 35.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…c290backed Over | 46c | 29.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 75c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. IslandersPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.