NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49d53633ac01d0ac4d31e9ffd8476046593bce9b6316eb1e08bc9a4032e71643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 22,023$12,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.01 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 57c | 9,776$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…c6b5backed Over | 58c | 6,025$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 71c | 3,521$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.21 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 3,051$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.8 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 1,397$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.74 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 58c | 793.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 58c | 688.57$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 30c | 556$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 57c | 522.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 355$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 340.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 42c | 300.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 59c | 202.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Over | 58c | 191.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 52c | 191.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Over | 55c | 180.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 177.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 58c | 173.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 58c | 171.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 168.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 161.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over | 58c | 157.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 154.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 58c | 113.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Under | 44c | 112.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Over | 57c | 105.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 59c | 103.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 94.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 87.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 36c | 76.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 41c | 72.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Over | 59c | 69.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under | 43c | 68.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 41c | 60.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 51.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Over | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 58c | 41.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 65c | 38.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 38.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Under | 43c | 35.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…acc8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c27abacked Over | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 59c | 29.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 57c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 68c | 26.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 65c | 26.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…8636backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…2c90backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 45c | 23.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Penguins vs. IslandersPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.