TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$646,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Sabres56c100,000$55,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,199.914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rangers44c69,955$30,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,779.9848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers45c44,181$19,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,881.6422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Sabres35c27,603$9,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,873.77258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sabres57c20,279$11,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,789.781,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres58c20,230$11,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,407.3427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Rangers43c20,002$8,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,600.9467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Sabres57c13,982$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.244151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rangers42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.8412950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Sabres56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.9916656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers42c11,996$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.250049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres56c11,952$6,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,228.581,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Rangers30c8,590$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.9511644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers66c7,090$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.121,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Rangers43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Rangers44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres55c5,951$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.032,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Rangers43c5,725$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.961241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres55c5,698$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.9775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sabres56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed Rangers5c4,940$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.454546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rangers44c4,773$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Sabres29c4,699$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.645959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sabres40c4,517$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.8341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Rangers44c4,213$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.7220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Sabres55c4,189$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Rangers31c3,596$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Rangers44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sabres55c3,343$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.3559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rangers63c3,143$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.7933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Rangers71c3,097$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Rangers42c3,090$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.7914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres55c3,052$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Sabres57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2903240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers46c2,960$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rangers62c2,927$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.1437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Rangers62c2,853$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.7312654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Rangers63c2,767$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.697557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rangers63c2,703$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.2918853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Sabres56c2,636$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.024060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Rangers59c2,627$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55012552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers44c2,598$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.9761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Rangers62c2,590$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.4419759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Rangers63c2,554$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.0618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b9…d4f4backed Sabres56c2,501$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07524749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Rangers24c2,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Rangers70c2,449$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.493154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres55c2,424$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.9340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…dcf8backed Sabres57c2,291$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffa…1c3bbacked Rangers44c2,291$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sabres68c2,210$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.2213850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres62c2,170$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.2133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres56c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sabres57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Sabres57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Sabres57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.997354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Sabres57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.994465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Sabres55c1,954$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.386758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Rangers32c1,894$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers41c1,761$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.031,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sabres57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3955446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Sabres58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Rangers32c1,682$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2410941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sabres30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sabres30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6719141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Sabres52c1,600$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.6725635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971d…f598backed Rangers44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Rangers64c1,600$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.2814650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Sabres54c1,501$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.217353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres67c1,441$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.282,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Rangers42c1,437$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.4989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5116843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres60c1,386$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.242,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Rangers49c1,373$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.587238.9%28 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sabres48c1,361$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.062867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Sabres55c1,305$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.314544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers44c1,262$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Rangers61c1,243$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.7414062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres60c1,227$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Sabres59c1,214$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3219050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Rangers44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rangers60c1,167$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres75c1,165$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Rangers16c1,150$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.533951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Rangers44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Rangers71c1,127$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Sabres45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Rangers19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Rangers44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4846139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf4b…3b2ebacked Sabres57c1,069$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.673557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Sabres57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.635255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cc…4c27backed Sabres58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers29c1,042$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0231148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…8a1abacked Sabres28c1,020$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres57c1,019$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.