NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1df6454b9a426caf422be90a8402bad532e9b4a9d645b192d02b4dc516f134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 301.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 267.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 247.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305f…df0dbacked Under | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…cd9bbacked Under | 42c | 219$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…2f98backed Under | 42c | 218$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e2…42bfbacked Over | 58c | 217.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…319ebacked Over | 58c | 215.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…c620backed Under | 42c | 215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…15eebacked Under | 42c | 215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…81a6backed Over | 58c | 214.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…be07backed Over | 58c | 214.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…be7ebacked Over | 58c | 213.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d3…1eb2backed Over | 58c | 208.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…ed0bbacked Under | 42c | 207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…1257backed Over | 58c | 204.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…f0b9backed Under | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc2…1fb3backed Over | 58c | 203.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…59d5backed Under | 42c | 199$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd381…9c4dbacked Over | 58c | 197.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…022ebacked Under | 42c | 192$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…2255backed Under | 42c | 191$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…9a59backed Over | 58c | 190.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 177.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 91.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Under | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 60c | 30.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. RangersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.