NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b074da1575b42024e6cc2c1bfab4c59d0bb641ba03b3f6963be6cdac0637f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Rangers | 66c | 2,873$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.04 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sabres | 34c | 2,154$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.71 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 65c | 2,079$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.56 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 35c | 1,576$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.28 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rangers | 65c | 1,234$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.88 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Sabres | 37c | 1,041$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Rangers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabres | 34c | 931.82$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Rangers | 66c | 890.55$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Sabres | 35c | 823.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.41 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Sabres | 35c | 796.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.74 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Rangers | 55c | 670.52$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Sabres | 35c | 628.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Rangers | 64c | 619.21$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Rangers | 65c | 604.7$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.05 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabres | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabres | 46c | 452.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Sabres | 35c | 276.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 56c | 248.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres | 34c | 239.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 63c | 237.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rangers | 55c | 225.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 78c | 219.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 63c | 186.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Sabres | 35c | 164.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Sabres | 35c | 155.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Sabres | 38c | 152.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Sabres | 32c | 143.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 45c | 141.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rangers | 66c | 141.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 53c | 132.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rangers | 75c | 112.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Rangers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Rangers | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 65c | 76.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sabres | 43c | 76.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 63c | 68.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Sabres | 45c | 65.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Rangers | 61c | 63.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Rangers | 65c | 63.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Rangers | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…f08abacked Rangers | 73c | 63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Sabres | 40c | 60.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Sabres | 45c | 56.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Rangers | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rangers | 64c | 47.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rangers | 67c | 46.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Sabres | 36c | 44.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed Rangers | 63c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Rangers | 52c | 41.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Sabres | 28c | 41.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rangers | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Rangers | 66c | 34.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Sabres | 44c | 34.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 44c | 32.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sabres | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 65c | 31.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Rangers | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Rangers | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Rangers | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Rangers | 63c | 27.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 52c | 22.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Rangers | 65c | 18.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. RangersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.