NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb644b2f7c41764ddfe460f4b3acb26d27ef236a41ea06bb7ce7e20f10815e574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 19,067$9,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,834.98 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 4,939$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 52c | 3,175$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.33 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,342$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 52c | 933.07$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…98cebacked Under | 54c | 553.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 52c | 399.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 354.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 333.88$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 76c | 278.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…0a4ebacked Under | 53c | 233$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…7b47backed Over | 48c | 229$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…6998backed Under | 54c | 217$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…b21fbacked Over | 47c | 216.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 48c | 206$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…a06fbacked Over | 47c | 205.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 63c | 205.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…4463backed Under | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 202.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 168.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 28c | 125.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Under | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 99.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…95d8backed Over | 47c | 92.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…a738backed Under | 52c | 69.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 48c | 68.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 45c | 67.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 65.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 19c | 65.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 29c | 49.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 47.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 46.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…75c7backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 52c | 34.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8300…698ebacked Over | 48c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…2e02backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…6045backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…a41ebacked Over | 47c | 24.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed Under | 52c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…3dfabacked Over | 47c | 23.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…d36dbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed Under | 52c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…9383backed Over | 47c | 22.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…f170backed Under | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…3d9dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…3c13backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…97d7backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…63a1backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. RangersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.