UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ecb3624ee901f76005e793ff59fc93959153630e6b19e792f5cc68dae4335a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Terrance McKinneyof Kyle Nelson, Terrance McKinney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 112,043$71,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,455.75 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Kyle Nelson | 38c | 96,826$36,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,780.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Kyle Nelson | 36c | 80,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.93 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kyle Nelson | 36c | 43,029$15,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,490.46 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Kyle Nelson | 0c | 30,750$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 29,995$18,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,098.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 21,055$13,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.28 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Kyle Nelson | 38c | 15,926$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 15,619$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 14,385$8,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.91 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 10,192$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.45 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Terrance McKinney | 62c | 8,461$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.94 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 8,143$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 7,916$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 7,800$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 7,445$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.08 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 7,445$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 6,461$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.29 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Terrance McKinney | 62c | 5,776$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.94 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 4,813$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.31 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Terrance McKinney | 64c | 4,684$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 4,590$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.25 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 4,250$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Terrance McKinney | 67c | 4,183$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.94 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 4,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 3,100$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…bdd1backed Kyle Nelson | 38c | 2,796$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 2,778$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 2,420$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.34 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kyle Nelson | 33c | 2,313$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.81 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 2,139$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.73 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 2,050$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,846$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.93 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Kyle Nelson | 38c | 1,748$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 1,560$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 1,499$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.37 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kyle Nelson | 11c | 1,496$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,307$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Kyle Nelson | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 1,169$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,108$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…ee47backed Kyle Nelson | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 960$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kyle Nelson | 2c | 890$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Kyle Nelson | 40c | 830$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 790$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…2aeebacked Kyle Nelson | 36c | 779.86$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kyle Nelson | 35c | 745.32$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 701.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Terrance McKinney | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…a1c9backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 695$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Kyle Nelson | 40c | 685.9$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 656.76$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Kyle Nelson | 4c | 651.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 556.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Terrance McKinney | 64c | 538.65$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.63 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 529.98$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Kyle Nelson | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kyle Nelson | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Kyle Nelson | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…6570backed Kyle Nelson | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Terrance McKinney | 62c | 499.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Terrance McKinney | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Terrance McKinney | 61c | 470.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kyle Nelson | 31c | 453.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Kyle Nelson | 3c | 446.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kyle Nelson | 36c | 427.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 399$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Kyle Nelson | 39c | 397.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Terrance McKinney | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a266backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Terrance McKinney | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kyle Nelson | 39c | 381.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 358.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kyle Nelson | 37c | 349.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kyle Nelson | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked Kyle Nelson | 37c | 329.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Terrance McKinney | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Terrance McKinney | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Terrance McKinney win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.